MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 06:02:53| >> :120:11029:11029:
Athletico Paranaense
Copa Sudamericana | Round of 32 | 2nd Leg
Jul 26, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Alinja Arena

Athletico PR
2 - 1
Cerro Porteno

Mastriani (3'), Cuello (59')
Fernandinho (22'), Zapelli (26')
Zapelli (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Fernandez (68')
Benitez (30'), Ramon Cabanas (71')
Ramon Cabanas (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Athletico Paranaense and Cerro Porteno, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cerro Porteno 1-1 Athletico PR
Friday, July 19 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

We said: Athletico Paranaense 1-1 Cerro Porteno (Cerro Porteno advance on penalties)

These sides are evenly matched in virtually every category, but the Paraguayans have looked quite comfortable away from home, while El Paranaense appear to be overwhelmed when playing in front of their supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 70.53%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 11.47%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Cerro Porteno win it was 0-1 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawCerro Porteno
70.53% (-0.366 -0.37) 17.99% (0.204 0.2) 11.47% (0.163 0.16)
Both teams to score 48.04% (-0.148 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.75% (-0.48699999999999 -0.49)42.25% (0.489 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.35% (-0.491 -0.49)64.65% (0.492 0.49)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.25% (-0.22799999999999 -0.23)10.75% (0.227 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.28% (-0.505 -0.5)34.72% (0.506 0.51)
Cerro Porteno Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.82% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)46.17% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.14% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)81.85% (0.021999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 70.52%
    Cerro Porteno 11.47%
    Draw 17.99%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawCerro Porteno
2-0 @ 12.34% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-0 @ 11.06% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 9.18% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 7.09% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-0 @ 5.12% (-0.082999999999999 -0.08)
4-1 @ 3.96% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.28% (-0.059 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.76% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 70.52%
1-1 @ 8.55% (0.099 0.1)
0-0 @ 4.96% (0.107 0.11)
2-2 @ 3.69% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 17.99%
0-1 @ 3.84% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 3.31% (0.035 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.48% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 11.47%

How you voted: Athletico PR vs Cerro Porteno

Athletico Paranaense
47.4%
Draw
47.4%
Cerro Porteno
5.3%
19
Head to Head
Jul 19, 2024 1.30am
Round of 32 1st Leg
Cerro Porteno
1-1
Athletico PR
Benitez (33')
Piris (45+8'), Baez (63'), Gimenez (71')
Christian (69')
Godoy (45+4'), Julimar (45+4'), Christian (67'), Pablo (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!