Athletico PR3 - 0Ypiranga Erechim
de Araujo Pereira (14'), Carvalho de Oliveira (15'), Marques (31'), Carius (41'), da Silva Gomes dos Santos (59'), Uchoa (80'), Fonseca Ferreira (88')
Carvalho de Oliveira (0')
Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, July 10 at 11pm in Brasileiro
for
We said: Athletico Paranaense 3-0 Ypiranga Erechim (Athletico Paranaense win 4-2 on aggregate)
Over two months after an embarrassing first-leg defeat, Atletico Paranaense should be a different beast on home soil and desperate to overturn a deficit in order to reach the fourth round. Hardly convincing in the third tier recently, Ypiranga will need a perfect performance combined with plenty of luck to advance on Saturday evening, a mixture that we are struggling to envisage. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 72.69%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Ypiranga Erechim had a probability of 9.67%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.71%) and 3-0 (10.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.33%), while for a Ypiranga Erechim win it was 0-1 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Athletico Paranaense.
| Result | ||
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Ypiranga Erechim |
72.69% ( -0.01) | 17.64% ( 0) | 9.67% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 42.68% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
