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Championship header 2

Championship
Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 11, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Stadium of Light
Birmingham logo

Sunderland
3 - 1
Birmingham

Bellingham (17'), Sanderson (57' og.), Aouchiche (76')
Roberts (39'), Hume (45+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Miyoshi (30')
Laird (18'), James (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland

All competitions
Last Game: Swansea 0-0 Sunderland
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last Game: Birmingham 2-2 Ipswich
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 2-1 Birmingham City

 Sunderland have struggled at the Stadium of Light at points so far this season, but the visit of an out-of-form Birmingham side represents a good chance to collect maximum points. Blues are improving slowly as the squad gets accustomed to Rooney's style of play, although we do not believe that a maiden victory for the new boss is on the cards this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 54.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 22.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-2 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
SunderlandDrawBirmingham City
54.32% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 22.9% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 22.78% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 56.05% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.09% (-0.11 -0.11)43.91% (0.112 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.7% (-0.107 -0.11)66.3% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.91% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)16.09% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.52% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)45.48% (0.101 0.1)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.8% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)33.2% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.19% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)69.81% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 54.32%
    Birmingham City 22.78%
    Draw 22.9%
SunderlandDrawBirmingham City
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 9.76% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.92% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.43% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.74% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.48% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1% (-0.0059999999999999 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 54.32%
1-1 @ 10.76% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.34% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.9%
1-2 @ 5.93% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 5.89% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.25% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.18% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.19% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 22.78%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Birmingham

Sunderland
89.5%
Draw
5.3%
Birmingham City
5.3%
19
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
Sunderland
2-1
Birmingham
Hume (45+3'), Diallo (75')
Hall (29')
> Preview
Nov 11, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 21
Birmingham
1-2
Sunderland
Jutkiewicz (78')
Simms (25'), Diallo (49')
> Preview
Jan 30, 2018 7.45pm
Birmingham
3-1
Sunderland
Davis (28'), Boga (44'), Gallagher (54')
N'Doye (52'), Davis (59'), Grounds (87')
Oviedo (84')
Clarke-Salter (47'), Robson (58'), Honeyman (78')
Dec 23, 2017 3pm
Sunderland
1-1
Birmingham
Grabban (21')
Gallagher (16')
Gallagher (56'), Kieftenbeld (64'), Dean (80'), Grounds (93')
Gallagher (67')
Aug 27, 2014 7.45pm
Round Two
Birmingham
0-3
Sunderland

Thomas (53')
Gomez (77'), Johnson (87'), Wickham (88')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310
> Championship Full Table


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