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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 54.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 22.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-2 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
Result | ||
Sunderland | Draw | Birmingham City |
54.32% ( -0.04) | 22.9% ( 0.03) | 22.78% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 56.05% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.09% ( -0.11) | 43.91% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.7% ( -0.11) | 66.3% ( 0.11) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.91% ( -0.05) | 16.09% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.52% ( -0.1) | 45.48% ( 0.1) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.8% ( -0.04) | 33.2% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.19% ( -0.05) | 69.81% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Sunderland | Draw | Birmingham City |
2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.43% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 54.32% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.9% | 1-2 @ 5.93% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.89% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 22.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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