Championship

Championship | Gameweek 18

Nov 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Elland Road

Leeds
3 - 1
Swansea

Piroe (4'), Rutter (45+3'), James (61')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Paterson (1')
Lowe (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions

Last Game: Rotherham 1-1 Leeds
Friday, November 24 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Swansea City

All competitions

Last Game: Swansea 2-2 Hull City
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Leeds United 2-1 Swansea City

With Leeds having been below their best either side of the international break, Swansea will sense an opportunity to get back on track. Nevertheless, we cannot ignore Leeds' superior firepower - particularly at Elland Road - and it leaves us to predict a hard-earned win for the home side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 52.39%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 25.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Swansea City
52.39% ( -0.54)	22.41% ( 0.68)	25.2% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 60.66% (

-2.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.87% (

-3.42)

39.13% (

3.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.54% (

-3.68)

61.46% (

3.68)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.94% (

-1.37)

15.05% (

1.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.44% (

-2.66)

43.55% (

2.65)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.41% (

-1.94)

28.58% (

1.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.62% (

-2.5)

64.38% (

2.5)

Score Analysis

Leeds United 52.39%

Swansea City 25.2%

Draw 22.4%

Leeds United	Draw	Swansea City
2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.9) 2-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.5) 3-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.36) 4-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.26) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.27) 5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.16) Other @ 3.99% Total : 52.39%	1-1 @ 10.2% ( 0.61) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.66) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.25) Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.4%	1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.57) 0-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.26) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 3.45% Total : 25.2%