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FA Cup
Fulham logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 5, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Craven Cottage
Rotherham logo

Fulham
1 - 0
Rotherham

Reid (24')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's FA Cup clash between Fulham and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fulham

All competitions
Last Game: Fulham 2-1 Arsenal
Sunday, December 31 at 2pm in Premier League

Rotherham United

All competitions
Last Game: Blackburn 2-2 Rotherham
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Fulham 2-0 Rotherham United

 Fulham will be regarded as firm favourites to come out on top, even if Silva decides to make several changes to his lineup, although they must not underestimate Rotherham who will look to frustrate the Cottagers and make themselves difficult to break down. Forcing a replay would be viewed as a positive for the Millers, but we believe that the hosts should have enough top-flight quality in their side to get the job done in front of the Craven Cottage faithful. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 66.51%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 14.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.97%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.

Result
FulhamDrawRotherham United
66.51% (1.452 1.45) 19.07% (-0.716 -0.72) 14.41% (-0.731 -0.73)
Both teams to score 53.14% (0.622 0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.96% (1.754 1.75)40.04% (-1.749 -1.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.59% (1.791 1.79)62.4% (-1.786 -1.79)
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.82% (0.905 0.91)11.17% (-0.899 -0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.34% (1.943 1.94)35.66% (-1.937 -1.94)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.82% (0.094999999999999 0.09)40.17% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.19% (0.088000000000001 0.09)76.81% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Fulham 66.52%
    Rotherham United 14.41%
    Draw 19.07%
FulhamDrawRotherham United
2-0 @ 10.78% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-0 @ 9.84% (-0.432 -0.43)
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-0 @ 7.88% (0.22 0.22)
3-1 @ 7.18% (0.217 0.22)
4-0 @ 4.32% (0.268 0.27)
4-1 @ 3.94% (0.254 0.25)
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.107 0.11)
5-0 @ 1.89% (0.18 0.18)
4-2 @ 1.79% (0.12 0.12)
5-1 @ 1.73% (0.169 0.17)
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 66.52%
1-1 @ 8.97% (-0.379 -0.38)
0-0 @ 4.49% (-0.372 -0.37)
2-2 @ 4.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 19.07%
0-1 @ 4.09% (-0.329 -0.33)
1-2 @ 4.09% (-0.162 -0.16)
0-2 @ 1.87% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-3 @ 1.36%
1-3 @ 1.24% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 14.41%

How you voted: Fulham vs Rotherham

Fulham
87.1%
Draw
8.6%
Rotherham United
4.3%
93
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2017 3pm
Rotherham
0-1
Fulham

Purrington (82')
Aluko (66')
Johansen (90')
Dec 13, 2016 7.45pm
Fulham
2-1
Rotherham
Johansen (32'), Ayite (54')
Newell (19')
Wood (92')
Dec 29, 2015 7.45pm
Fulham
4-1
Rotherham
Woodrow (6', 45'), Kacaniklic (59'), McCormack (69')
Rawson (20')
> Match Report
Aug 29, 2015 3pm
Rotherham
1-3
Fulham
> Match Report
Apr 15, 2015 8pm
Fulham
1-1
Rotherham
> Match Report
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