Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 44.18%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Fulham win was 2-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.