Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Plymouth3 - 3Birmingham
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Plymouth 3-2 Rotherham
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 2-3 Leicester
Monday, December 18 at 8pm in Championship
Monday, December 18 at 8pm in Championship
We said: Plymouth Argyle 1-1 Birmingham City
Saturday's match will be a real test of Plymouth's character following the departure of fans' favourite Schumacher in the build-up, but the Pilgrims should be confident of earning a win regardless. Birmingham's high pressing could unsettle for the hosts in the early stages, and we reckon that Rooney's men will battle to an away point this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 49.2%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.22%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Birmingham City |
49.2% ( -0.19) | 22.47% ( 0.04) | 28.33% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 63.4% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
