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Coventry City
Championship | Gameweek 20
Dec 8, 2023 at 8pm UK
The Coventry Building Society Arena
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Coventry
2 - 0
Birmingham

O'Hare (30', 77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bacuna (9'), Dembele (56'), Aiwu (70'), Jutkiewicz (75'), James (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Coventry City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ipswich 2-1 Coventry
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 Rotherham
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Coventry City 2-1 Birmingham City

While the assumption is that Birmingham may click into gear under Rooney at some stage, we cannot ignore Coventry's improvement. Despite the defeat to Ipswich, they were competitive, and the Sky Blues seem likely to continue their resurgence on Friday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 55.31%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 20.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.

Result
Coventry CityDrawBirmingham City
55.31% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 23.86% (-0.02 -0.02) 20.83% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.33% (0.07 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.79% (0.087000000000003 0.09)50.2% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.83% (0.076999999999998 0.08)72.16% (-0.077999999999989 -0.08)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.98% (0.036000000000001 0.04)18.01% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.11% (0.061 0.06)48.89% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.39% (0.058 0.06)38.6% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.65% (0.057000000000002 0.06)75.35% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Coventry City 55.3%
    Birmingham City 20.83%
    Draw 23.85%
Coventry CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 11.92% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-0 @ 5.84%
3-1 @ 5.56% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.5% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 2.38% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 55.3%
1-1 @ 11.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.95% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.63% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 23.85%
0-1 @ 6.62% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 3.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.71% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 20.83%

How you voted: Coventry vs Birmingham

Coventry City
85.7%
Draw
7.1%
Birmingham City
7.1%
14
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Coventry
2-0
Birmingham
Eccles (3'), Gyokeres (42' pen.)
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Birmingham
2-4
Coventry
Pedersen (12'), Gardner (39')
Bacuna (4'), Roberts (40'), Richards (90+3'), Woods (90+5')
Sheaf (40', 45+4'), Rose (71'), O'Hare (90')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Coventry
0-0
Birmingham
Sanderson (54'), Roberts (76'), Sunjic (90+1')
Woods (82')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 27
Birmingham
1-1
Coventry
Bela (18' pen.)
Colin (20'), Sunjic (42'), San Jose (44')
Hamer (29')
Hamer (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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