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Championship header 2

Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 18
Nov 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Ewood Park
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Blackburn
4 - 2
Birmingham

Szmodics (47', 52'), Hill (59'), Leonard (90+2')
Tronstad (31'), Travis (33'), Wharton (80'), Leonard (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dembele (63', 78')
Aiwu (28'), Bielik (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Blackburn Rovers

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-3 Blackburn
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Championship

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last Game: Birmingham 2-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Birmingham City

 Blackburn had to dig deep at points to hold onto their lead against Stoke, and their counter-attacking abilities could pay dividends once again against a Birmingham side who have been more expansive since the arrival of Rooney. Blues will have one eye on the home clash with relegation-threatened Rotherham United on Saturday as another must-win, and in the meantime we expect the visitors to show their defensive frailties on the road at Ewood Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 52.82%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 23.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawBirmingham City
52.82% (0.997 1) 23.52% (0.085999999999999 0.09) 23.67% (-1.078 -1.08)
Both teams to score 55.12% (-1.504 -1.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.33% (-1.421 -1.42)45.68% (1.429 1.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.01% (-1.367 -1.37)68% (1.373 1.37)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.74% (-0.157 -0.16)17.26% (0.162 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.42% (-0.279 -0.28)47.59% (0.286 0.29)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.62% (-1.686 -1.69)33.39% (1.691 1.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.99% (-1.895 -1.9)70.01% (1.901 1.9)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 52.82%
    Birmingham City 23.67%
    Draw 23.51%
Blackburn RoversDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 10.12% (0.548 0.55)
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.89% (0.44 0.44)
3-1 @ 5.71% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 5.21% (0.231 0.23)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.152 -0.15)
4-1 @ 2.51% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.29% (0.09 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 52.82%
1-1 @ 11.1% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 5.76% (0.343 0.34)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.229 -0.23)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.51%
0-1 @ 6.32% (0.095 0.09)
1-2 @ 6.09% (-0.227 -0.23)
0-2 @ 3.47% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.23% (-0.192 -0.19)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 23.67%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Birmingham

Blackburn Rovers
75.0%
Draw
22.2%
Birmingham City
2.8%
36
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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310
> Championship Full Table


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