Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.