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Championship | Gameweek 17
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Sheffield Wednesday logo

Birmingham
2 - 1
Sheff Weds

Bacuna (45+3'), James (81')
Dembele (15')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Byers (45')
Windass (32'), Wilks (37'), Bannan (39'), Musaba (61'), Gassama (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Sheffield Wednesday, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 3-1 Birmingham
Saturday, November 11 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-4 Millwall
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Sheffield Wednesday

The international break came at the right time for each of these two clubs and there could be more quality on show than there was before it. Nevertheless, it is difficult to see either of these teams prevailing, leading us to predict a competitive draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawSheffield Wednesday
39.91% (0.041000000000004 0.04) 26.92% (-0.012 -0.01) 33.16% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 50.76% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.62% (0.049999999999997 0.05)54.38% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.24% (0.041999999999998 0.04)75.75% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.31% (0.045000000000002 0.05)26.69% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.06% (0.061999999999998 0.06)61.94% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.24% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)30.75% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.98% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)67.02% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 39.91%
    Sheffield Wednesday 33.16%
    Draw 26.92%
Birmingham CityDrawSheffield Wednesday
1-0 @ 10.84%
2-1 @ 8.44% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.16% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 3.72% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.15% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.23% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 39.91%
1-1 @ 12.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.21% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.98% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.92%
0-1 @ 9.68% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.71% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.24% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 33.16%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Sheff Weds

Birmingham City
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
Sheffield Wednesday
16.7%
12
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 31
Sheff Weds
0-1
Birmingham

Shaw (44')
Shaw (50')
Hogan (63')
Clarke-Salter (22'), Etheridge (53')
Oct 17, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 5
Birmingham
0-1
Sheff Weds

Gardner (66')
Bannan (49' pen.)
Kachunga (74')
Feb 22, 2020 3pm
Nov 27, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Sheff Weds
1-1
Birmingham
Harris (81')
Borner (12')
Gimenez (48')
Alvaro (66'), Roberts (78'), Colin (84')
Jan 1, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 26
Sheff Weds
1-1
Birmingham
Fletcher (18')
Fox (87')
Adams (48')
Morrison (60'), Jota (71'), Gardner (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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