MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 11:20:11| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
Swansea logo

Watford
1 - 1
Swansea

Porteous (57')
Chakvetadze (45+1'), Livermore (45+3'), Andrews (67'), Porteous (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Andrews (18' og.)
Tymon (32'), Wood (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Watford and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Watford
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 2-1 Blackburn
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 1-1 Swansea City

Although these two clubs will expect to remain in the Championship, the stakes are high for both sides, who are aware that defeat could lead to becoming embroiled in a relegation scrap. With that in mind, do not be surprised to see a draw be played out at Vicarage Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 50.42%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
WatfordDrawSwansea City
50.42% (0.106 0.11) 23.82% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02) 25.76% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Both teams to score 56.36% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.92% (0.039000000000001 0.04)45.07% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.57% (0.039000000000001 0.04)67.42% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.06% (0.057000000000002 0.06)17.93% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.24% (0.095999999999997 0.1)48.75% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.68% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)31.32% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.32% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)67.67% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Watford 50.42%
    Swansea City 25.76%
    Draw 23.81%
WatfordDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 9.65% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.29% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.52% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.75% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.37% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.04% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.38% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 50.42%
1-1 @ 11.2% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.62% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.81%
0-1 @ 6.52% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.51% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.79% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.47% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 25.76%

How you voted: Watford vs Swansea

Watford
39.8%
Draw
25.9%
Swansea City
34.3%
108
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Swansea
0-1
Watford
Sema (82')
Livermore (30'), Hoedt (73'), Kayembe (86')
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Swansea
4-0
Watford
Piroe (39', 78'), Cullen (74'), Latibeaudiere (87')
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Watford
1-2
Swansea
Sarr (34')
Ntcham (52'), Cabango (90+8')
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Watford
2-0
Swansea
Gray (56'), Success (87')
Jan 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 23
Swansea
2-1
Watford
Lowe (43', 67')
Guehi (21'), Bidwell (33'), Grimes (45+1')
Cleverley (20')
Chalobah (42'), Masina (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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