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Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Cardiff City logo

Watford
0 - 1
Cardiff


Chakvetadze (44'), Pollock (47'), Livermore (50')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bowler (43')
Colwill (51'), Bowler (69'), Goutas (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-0 Watford
Wednesday, January 31 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 3-1 Cardiff
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-1 Cardiff City

With Dennis and Rajovic raring to do some damage from the start, Watford should be confident of exploiting a leaky Cardiff backline this weekend. The Bluebirds will be boosted by the return of Ramsey to the matchday squad, but we believe that the introduction of the Welsh legend will not be enough to prevent a win for the hosts at Vicarage Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 52.14%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawCardiff City
52.14% (0.012 0.01) 24.36% (-0.157 -0.16) 23.5% (0.143 0.14)
Both teams to score 52.21% (0.65 0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.57% (0.778 0.78)49.43% (-0.77800000000001 -0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.53% (0.696 0.7)71.47% (-0.697 -0.7)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.07% (0.304 0.3)18.93% (-0.305 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.56% (0.506 0.51)50.44% (-0.50700000000001 -0.51)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.41% (0.56 0.56)35.59% (-0.562 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.64% (0.574 0.57)72.36% (-0.57600000000001 -0.58)
Score Analysis
    Watford 52.13%
    Cardiff City 23.5%
    Draw 24.36%
WatfordDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 11.21% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-1 @ 9.64% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.33% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-1 @ 5.35% (0.067 0.07)
3-0 @ 5.18% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.76% (0.076 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.23% (0.049 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.16% (0.015 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 52.13%
1-1 @ 11.58% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 6.74% (-0.216 -0.22)
2-2 @ 4.98% (0.090000000000001 0.09)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.36%
0-1 @ 6.96% (-0.115 -0.12)
1-2 @ 5.98% (0.051 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.6% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.06% (0.048 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.057 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.24% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 23.5%

How you voted: Watford vs Cardiff

Watford
60.7%
Draw
14.3%
Cardiff City
25.0%
28
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 11
Cardiff
1-1
Watford
Issouf Bayo (54')
Sierralta (39'), Lewis (65')
Apr 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 43
Watford
1-3
Cardiff
Sarr (11')
Etete (31'), Kipre (35'), Kaba (42')
Nov 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Cardiff
1-2
Watford
Kipre (9')
Sierralta (38'), Sarr (59')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 36
Cardiff
1-2
Watford
Sierralta (14' og.)
Bacuna (81'), Ng (90+2')
Chalobah (15'), Masina (90+3')
Bachmann (39'), Hughes (45+1'), Sarr (82'), Sierralta (85')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 16
Watford
0-1
Cardiff

Perica (89')
Moore (43')
Ojo (60'), Ralls (66')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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