Championship

Championship | Gameweek 26

Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK

Home Park

Plymouth
3 - 3
Watford

Azaz (20'), Whittaker (27'), Hardie (42')
Mumba (59'), Randell (86')

FT(HT: 3-2)

Kayembe (11'), Kone (38'), Andrews (57')
Livermore (43'), Healey (87'), Asprilla (88'), Martins (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

Last Game: Southampton 2-1 Plymouth
Friday, December 29 at 6pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Watford

All competitions

Last Game: Watford 1-1 Stoke
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Plymouth Argyle 1-1 Watford

Plymouth's home form this season has been excellent, but Watford have lost just four of their 11 matches on their travels, so we are finding it difficult to separate the two sides here. A draw would not be the worst result for either team on Monday, and we are predicting a 1-1 in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 41.77%. A win for Watford had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Watford
41.77%	24.03%	34.2% ( 0)

Both teams to score 60.82% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.5% (

41.5%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.1% (

63.9% (

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.91% (

20.09% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.67% (

52.33% (

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.11% (

23.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.91% (

58.09%

Score Analysis

Plymouth Argyle 41.77%

Watford 34.2%

Draw 24.03%

Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Watford
2-1 @ 8.85% 1-0 @ 7.7% 2-0 @ 6.18% 3-1 @ 4.74% 3-2 @ 3.39% 3-0 @ 3.31% 4-1 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.02% Total : 41.77%	1-1 @ 11.02% 2-2 @ 6.34% 0-0 @ 4.8% 3-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.03%	1-2 @ 7.9% 0-1 @ 6.87% 0-2 @ 4.92% 1-3 @ 3.77% 2-3 @ 3.02% 0-3 @ 2.35% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.35% 2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 34.2%