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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 52.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 23.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cardiff City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
52.84% ( -0.03) | 24.13% ( -0.01) | 23.02% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 52.36% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.05% ( 0.07) | 48.95% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.96% ( 0.06) | 71.04% ( -0.06) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.52% ( 0.01) | 18.48% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.32% ( 0.02) | 49.68% ( -0.02) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.23% ( 0.07) | 35.77% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.46% ( 0.07) | 72.54% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
1-0 @ 11.16% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.45% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.24% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 3.29% Total : 52.84% | 1-1 @ 11.47% 0-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.13% | 0-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.49% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 23.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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