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Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
Ipswich logo

Watford
1 - 2
Ipswich

Asprilla (12')
Kayembe (46'), Issouf Bayo (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hirst (24'), Morsy (80')
Chaplin (39'), Hirst (45'), Luongo (53'), Hutchinson (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Watford and Ipswich Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 1-1 Southampton
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-2 Ipswich
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 1-2 Ipswich Town

Ipswich kept their first clean sheet in nine matches last time out, but we cannot imagine them making it successive shutouts on Tuesday night. Another one of the division's big hitters arrives at Vicarage Road in midweek, and we feel that Watford will be unable to stop the Ipswich juggernaut. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Ipswich Town in this match.

Result
WatfordDrawIpswich Town
44.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 24.72% (0.0019999999999989 0) 31.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.27% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.35% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)45.65% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.02% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)67.98% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.2% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)20.8% (0.0059999999999967 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.54% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)53.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.32% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)27.68% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.76% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)63.23% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Watford 44.04%
    Ipswich Town 31.24%
    Draw 24.71%
WatfordDrawIpswich Town
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 9.04% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.77%
3-0 @ 3.72% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.87% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.46%
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 44.04%
1-1 @ 11.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.86% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-0 @ 5.76% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.71%
1-2 @ 7.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 7.4% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-2 @ 4.75%
1-3 @ 3.19% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 31.24%

How you voted: Watford vs Ipswich

Watford
16.7%
Draw
7.4%
Ipswich Town
75.9%
54
Head to Head
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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