Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 50.68%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Watford had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.