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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 54.67%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 23.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.
Result | ||
Watford | Draw | Norwich City |
54.67% ( 0.52) | 22.29% ( -0.26) | 23.04% ( -0.27) |
Both teams to score 58.49% ( 0.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.15% ( 0.9) | 40.84% ( -0.9) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.76% ( 0.91) | 63.23% ( -0.91) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.1% ( 0.48) | 14.9% ( -0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.74% ( 0.92) | 43.26% ( -0.92) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.73% ( 0.27) | 31.27% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.37% ( 0.31) | 67.62% ( -0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Watford | Draw | Norwich City |
2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.23% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.98% Total : 54.67% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.29% | 1-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.73% Total : 23.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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