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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cardiff City | Draw | Norwich City |
42.09% ( 1.38) | 26.54% ( 0.45) | 31.37% ( -1.83) |
Both teams to score 51.36% ( -2.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.65% ( -2.36) | 53.35% ( 2.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.11% ( -2.03) | 74.89% ( 2.03) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.93% ( -0.35) | 25.07% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.25% ( -0.49) | 59.75% ( 0.49) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.54% ( -2.4) | 31.45% ( 2.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.16% ( -2.88) | 67.83% ( 2.88) |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff City | Draw | Norwich City |
1-0 @ 10.9% ( 0.87) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.53) 3-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.47% Total : 42.08% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.7) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.31) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.54% | 0-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.37) 0-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.35) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.23) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.26) Other @ 2.88% Total : 31.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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