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Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Norwich logo

Cardiff
2 - 3
Norwich

Bowler (39'), Robinson (43')
Grant (12'), Wintle (79')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Fassnacht (22'), Wintle (82' og.), Idah (84')
Nunez (45'), Gibbs (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 0-0 Cardiff
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 1-3 Blackburn
Sunday, November 5 at 12pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Norwich City

With Norwich still possessing a talented attacking unit, they should not be ruled out from causing a surprise in South Wales. Nevertheless, we cannot back against the home side, whose excellent home form cannot be ignored, and Cardiff could run out victors by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawNorwich City
42.09% (1.375 1.38) 26.54% (0.452 0.45) 31.37% (-1.828 -1.83)
Both teams to score 51.36% (-2.048 -2.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.65% (-2.357 -2.36)53.35% (2.357 2.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.11% (-2.031 -2.03)74.89% (2.03 2.03)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.93% (-0.349 -0.35)25.07% (0.349 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.25% (-0.488 -0.49)59.75% (0.488 0.49)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.54% (-2.404 -2.4)31.45% (2.404 2.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.16% (-2.875 -2.88)67.83% (2.875 2.88)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 42.08%
    Norwich City 31.37%
    Draw 26.54%
Cardiff CityDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 10.9% (0.87 0.87)
2-1 @ 8.73% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.55% (0.534 0.53)
3-1 @ 4.03% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.48% (0.213 0.21)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.169 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.39% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.2% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 42.08%
1-1 @ 12.61% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 7.88% (0.704 0.7)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.311 -0.31)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.54%
0-1 @ 9.12% (0.244 0.24)
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.371 -0.37)
0-2 @ 5.27% (-0.212 -0.21)
1-3 @ 2.81% (-0.346 -0.35)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.227 -0.23)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.262 -0.26)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 31.37%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Norwich

Cardiff City
55.6%
Draw
11.1%
Norwich City
33.3%
9
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Norwich
2-0
Cardiff
Sara (33'), Marquinhos (37')
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Cardiff
1-0
Norwich
Sawyers (49')
Kipre (44'), O'Dowda (54'), Ralls (69'), Ng (69'), Rinomhota (69')
Ng (73')

Hanley (68')
Hanley (85')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 24
Cardiff
1-2
Norwich
Ralls (65')
Bacuna (34'), Pack (54'), Hoilett (57'), Wilson (89')
Pack (70')
Hanley (3'), Cantwell (22')
Dec 19, 2020 12.30pm
Gameweek 20
Norwich
2-0
Cardiff
Buendia (27'), Cantwell (70')

Nelson (54'), Ojo (57'), Bacuna (82'), Wilson (90+5')
Aug 28, 2018 7.45pm
Second Round
Cardiff
1-3
Norwich
Ecuele Manga (77')
Richards (40'), Damour (73')
Srbeny (26', 64'), Aarons (69')
Stiepermann (29'), Aarons (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd33226547232470
2Leeds UnitedLeeds32209366194769
3Burnley33171423993065
4Sunderland321711449282162
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn33156123931851
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom331115742311148
7Coventry CityCoventry33138124441347
8Bristol City33111394137446
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds33129124650-445
10Watford33136144348-545
11Middlesbrough32128125043744
12Norwich CityNorwich331111115145644
13Queens Park RangersQPR331111113941-244
14Millwall321011113233-141
15Preston North EndPreston3291493438-441
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd33911133447-1338
17Swansea CitySwansea33107163446-1237
18Portsmouth3399154155-1436
19Stoke CityStoke32811133140-935
20Cardiff CityCardiff32711143554-1932
21Hull City3279163243-1130
22Derby CountyDerby3378183346-1329
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth32610163466-3228
24Luton TownLuton3276193052-2227


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