We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Norwich City
With Norwich still possessing a talented attacking unit, they should not be ruled out from causing a surprise in South Wales. Nevertheless, we cannot back against the home side, whose excellent home form cannot be ignored, and Cardiff could run out victors by the odd goal in three.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.