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Championship | Gameweek 15
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Stoke
0 - 0
Cardiff


McNally (42')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-2 Stoke
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 2-0 Bristol City
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 2-1 Cardiff City

When two of the form teams in any division lock horns, you expect a high-quality contest. That is what we are anticipating here with Stoke having our backing to extend their unexpected upturn in fortunes with a fourth victory in a row. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 48.85%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 26.1% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawCardiff City
48.85% (0.073 0.07) 25.04% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 26.1% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 52.74% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.99% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)50% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.01% (-0.041 -0.04)71.98% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.51% (0.010999999999996 0.01)20.49% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.03% (0.019000000000005 0.02)52.97% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.33% (-0.082000000000008 -0.08)33.66% (0.081999999999994 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.68% (-0.093 -0.09)70.31% (0.090999999999994 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 48.85%
    Cardiff City 26.1%
    Draw 25.03%
Stoke CityDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 10.93% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.67% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.99% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 4.58% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.98% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.82% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 48.85%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 6.9% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.03%
0-1 @ 7.51% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
1-2 @ 6.48% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.35% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 26.1%

How you voted: Stoke vs Cardiff

Stoke City
68.4%
Draw
15.8%
Cardiff City
15.8%
19
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 44
Cardiff
1-1
Stoke
Kaba (29')
Laurent (16')
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Stoke
2-2
Cardiff
Campbell (11'), Delap (18')
Wintle (6'), Robinson (58')
Mar 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Cardiff
2-1
Stoke
Doyle (39'), Hugill (43')
Hugill (68')
Baker (23')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 15
Stoke
3-3
Cardiff
Brown (9'), Fletcher (16', 46')
Wilmot (62'), Souttar (64'), Surridge (83')
Colwill (66'), Harris (70'), Moore (71')
Nelson (39'), Bacuna (57'), Harris (89')
Mar 16, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 37
Cardiff
0-0
Stoke
Pack (56')
Allen (88')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds1695228121632
2Sunderland1695226121432
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
4Burnley168621961330
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea165471414019
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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