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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 37.37%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 36.59% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Bristol City | Draw | Watford |
36.59% ( 0.01) | 26.04% ( -0.01) | 37.37% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 54.11% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.67% ( 0.04) | 50.33% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.73% ( 0.04) | 72.27% ( -0.04) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.34% ( 0.02) | 26.66% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.09% ( 0.03) | 61.91% ( -0.03) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.78% ( 0.02) | 26.21% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.69% ( 0.03) | 61.31% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol City | Draw | Watford |
1-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.11% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.6% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.69% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 3.17% Total : 36.59% | 1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.26% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.7% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.8% 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 37.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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