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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Hull City win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.
Result | ||
Bristol City | Draw | Hull City |
40.4% ( -0.19) | 25.25% ( 0.05) | 34.35% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 56.54% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.91% ( -0.21) | 47.09% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.67% ( -0.19) | 69.33% ( 0.19) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.86% ( -0.18) | 23.13% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43% ( -0.27) | 57% ( 0.27) |
Hull City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.56% ( -0.02) | 26.44% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.39% ( -0.02) | 61.61% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol City | Draw | Hull City |
1-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.13% Total : 40.4% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 3.22% Total : 34.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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