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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bristol City | Draw | Norwich City |
41.83% ( 0.91) | 24.93% ( 0.22) | 33.25% ( -1.12) |
Both teams to score 57.34% ( -1.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.08% ( -1.29) | 45.93% ( 1.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.77% ( -1.23) | 68.24% ( 1.23) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.07% ( -0.12) | 21.94% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.79% ( -0.18) | 55.22% ( 0.19) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.45% ( -1.28) | 26.55% ( 1.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.24% ( -1.73) | 61.76% ( 1.74) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol City | Draw | Norwich City |
2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.44) 2-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.42% Total : 41.83% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.31) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.93% | 1-2 @ 7.77% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.19% Total : 33.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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