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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Cardiff City logo

Plymouth
3 - 1
Cardiff

Hardie (31', 52'), Whittaker (81')
Phillips (35'), Miller (41'), Mumba (50'), Scarr (61')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ng (10')
Meite (36'), Ng (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 0-3 Leeds
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Plymouth Argyle 1-2 Cardiff City

With Plymouth having lost some key men of late, this feels like somewhat of a walk into the unknown until they settle under Foster. That may hand Cardiff an opportunity to get a much-needed win on the board, even if it comes during the latter stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 51.4%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 26.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawCardiff City
51.4% (0.98 0.98) 22.28% (-0.146 -0.15) 26.32% (-0.831 -0.83)
Both teams to score 62.31% (-0.25 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.53% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)37.47% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.31% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)59.69% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.21% (0.334 0.33)14.79% (-0.331 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.94% (0.631 0.63)43.06% (-0.627 -0.63)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.13% (-0.57899999999999 -0.58)26.87% (0.583 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.82% (-0.77 -0.77)62.18% (0.774 0.77)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 51.4%
    Cardiff City 26.32%
    Draw 22.28%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawCardiff City
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
1-0 @ 7.6% (0.087 0.09)
2-0 @ 7.26% (0.166 0.17)
3-1 @ 6.08% (0.109 0.11)
3-0 @ 4.62% (0.158 0.16)
3-2 @ 3.99% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.9% (0.085 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.21% (0.1 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.91% (0.026 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.11% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 4.19%
Total : 51.4%
1-1 @ 9.98% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.27% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.97% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 1.75% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.28%
1-2 @ 6.56% (-0.144 -0.14)
0-1 @ 5.22% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.43% (-0.116 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.87% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.5% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-4 @ 0.9% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 26.32%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Cardiff

Plymouth Argyle
53.8%
Draw
15.4%
Cardiff City
30.8%
26
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Cardiff
2-2
Plymouth
Butcher (31' og.), Grant (47')
Whittaker (17', 66')
Gibson (44')
Jul 21, 2017 7pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Plymouth
0-1
Cardiff
Zohore (49')
Dec 26, 2009 3pm
Cardiff
0-1
Plymouth

Bothroyd (33')
Sawyer (84')
Johnson (18'), Fallon (29'), Larrieu (49'), Fletcher (67')
Aug 18, 2009 3pm
Plymouth
1-3
Cardiff
Gow (90' pen.)
Sawyer (24')
Chopra (4', 80', 85')
Capaldi (28'), Matthews (36')
Capaldi (90')
Dec 28, 2008 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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