Plymouth3 - 1Sutton
Form, Standings, Stats
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two
We said: Plymouth Argyle 3-0 Sutton United
Plymouth have failed to get any wins since the departure of Schumacher but will be confident of breaking their winless streak on Saturday afternoon. Sutton have struggled in League Two this season, and it is hard to imagine the visitors advancing into the fourth round at Home Park. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 57.36%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 21.49% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.31%) and 1-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-2 (5.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Sutton United |
57.36% ( -0.17) | 21.15% ( -0.01) | 21.49% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 60.35% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
