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Sutton United
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Mansfield Town

Sutton
0 - 2
Mansfield


Hart (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Quinn (25'), Akins (75')
Clarke (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Sutton United and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 8-0 Sutton
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Sutton United 1-2 Mansfield Town

A new manager in the dugout can often have an immediate impact, but in this case, we believe the character and consistency of Mansfield Town will take advantage of a side that may still be reeling psychologically from what transpired last weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-0 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawMansfield Town
31.7% (-1.038 -1.04) 24.95% (0.195 0.2) 43.35% (0.84 0.84)
Both teams to score 56.69% (-1.082 -1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.49% (-1.231 -1.23)46.51% (1.228 1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.21% (-1.167 -1.17)68.79% (1.163 1.16)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.19% (-1.255 -1.26)27.8% (1.252 1.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.61% (-1.634 -1.63)63.39% (1.63 1.63)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.52% (-0.133 -0.13)21.48% (0.13 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.49% (-0.202 -0.2)54.51% (0.198 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 31.7%
    Mansfield Town 43.35%
    Draw 24.94%
Sutton UnitedDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 7.64% (0.127 0.13)
2-1 @ 7.52% (-0.172 -0.17)
2-0 @ 4.89% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.21% (-0.192 -0.19)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.158 -0.16)
3-0 @ 2.09% (-0.116 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.03% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 31.7%
1-1 @ 11.75% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 5.97% (0.304 0.3)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.155 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.94%
0-1 @ 9.19% (0.433 0.43)
1-2 @ 9.04% (0.08 0.08)
0-2 @ 7.06% (0.306 0.31)
1-3 @ 4.64% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.62% (0.143 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.97% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.78% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.39% (0.05 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 43.35%

How you voted: Sutton vs Mansfield

Sutton United
22.2%
Draw
0.0%
Mansfield Town
77.8%
9
Head to Head
Mar 25, 2023 3pm
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Sutton
2-1
Mansfield
Neufville (44'), Fadahunsi (82')
Rowe (15'), Kizzi (37'), Thomas (56')
Hawkins (75')
O'Toole (28'), Quinn (68')
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Mansfield
2-3
Sutton
Goodliffe (78' og.), Longstaff (90+7')
Quinn (57')
Bugiel (9'), Ajiboye (49'), Bennett (80')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Sutton
2-0
Mansfield
John (4'), Bugiel (69')

Hawkins (5'), Stirk (32'), Clarke (72')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1BarrowBarrow7511113816
2Gillingham7511102816
3Walsall7502114715
4Notts County7421147714
5AFC Wimbledon641194513
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster7412119213
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe741277013
8Bradford CityBradford732297211
9Port Vale73221110111
10Chesterfield723210649
11Colchester UnitedColchester7232121029
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood62318719
13Salford City723246-29
14Grimsby Town7304912-39
15Tranmere RoversTranmere723237-49
16Newport CountyNewport73041015-59
17Bromley7214911-27
18Cheltenham TownCheltenham7214911-27
19MK Dons721469-37
20Harrogate TownHarrogate7214610-47
21Swindon TownSwindon7133710-36
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle7205814-66
23Accrington StanleyAccrington7034816-83
24Morecambe7025510-52


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