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Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Leicester logo

Watford
1 - 2
Leicester

Dennis (63')
Porteous (75'), Hoedt (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Daka (11' pen.), Pereira (55')
Winks (37'), Nelson (45+5'), Vardy (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Watford 1-3 Leicester City

Having being outclassed against the second-placed team in the division on Tuesday, Watford would ideally not want to be facing the leaders next. Although a competitive encounter could ensue, Leicester should have enough quality in the final third to come through with the win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Watford had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.86%) and 0-2 (5.83%). The likeliest Watford win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Leicester City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leicester City.

Result
WatfordDrawLeicester City
34.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 23.27% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 42.44% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 63.69% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.24% (0.1 0.1)37.76% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.99% (0.107 0.11)60% (-0.108 -0.11)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.9% (0.045000000000002 0.05)22.09% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.54% (0.065999999999995 0.07)55.45% (-0.067 -0.07)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.75% (0.051000000000002 0.05)18.24% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.71% (0.087000000000003 0.09)49.29% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Watford 34.28%
    Leicester City 42.44%
    Draw 23.27%
WatfordDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 7.82% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 6.09% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.6% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.35% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.31% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 34.28%
1-1 @ 10.35% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.65% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.03% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.9% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.27%
1-2 @ 8.81% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 6.86% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.83% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.77% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.31%
1-4 @ 2.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.6% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.41% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 42.44%

How you voted: Watford vs Leicester

Watford
16.2%
Draw
13.2%
Leicester City
70.6%
68
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Leicester
2-0
Watford
Vardy (76', 90+5' pen.)
Ndidi (62'), Vardy (68')

Louza (30'), Ismael (31'), Porteous (54'), Chakvetadze (72'), Kayembe (75'), Bachmann (83'), Asprilla (90')
Bachmann (90+3')
May 15, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 37
Watford
1-5
Leicester
Pedro (6')
Maddison (18'), Vardy (22', 70'), Barnes (46', 86')
Tielemans (55')
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Third Round
Leicester
4-1
Watford
Tielemans (7' pen.), Maddison (25'), Barnes (54'), Albrighton (85')
Daley-Campbell (36')
Pedro (27')
Nov 28, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 13
Leicester
4-2
Watford
Maddison (16'), Vardy (34', 42'), Lookman (68')
King (30' pen.), Dennis (61')
Jun 20, 2020 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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