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Championship | Gameweek 29
Jan 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
King Power Stadium
Swansea logo

Leicester
3 - 1
Swansea

Dewsbury-Hall (3'), Mavididi (69' pen.), Akgun (72')
Dewsbury-Hall (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Allen (90+5')
Wood (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Leicester City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Leicester City 3-0 Swansea City

Leicester were able to hand a number of their first-team stars a rest during the FA Cup win over Birmingham, meaning the Foxes should be raring to put Swansea to the sword at the King Power. The Swans have been woeful during away matches against Southampton and Bournemouth over the past month, and with the Foxes runaway leaders at the top of the Championship, it is set to be another tough outing for the Welsh side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 65.86%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 15.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 1-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for a Swansea City win it was 1-2 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawSwansea City
65.86% (0.0049999999999955 0) 18.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 15.27% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Both teams to score 56.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.79% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)37.21% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.59% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)59.41% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.46% (0.0010000000000048 0)10.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)34.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.77% (0.0020000000000024 0)37.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.98%74.02% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 65.86%
    Swansea City 15.27%
    Draw 18.88%
Leicester CityDrawSwansea City
2-0 @ 9.93% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.83% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 7.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 7.36% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 4.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 4.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.64% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 2.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.89%
5-1 @ 1.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 65.86%
1-1 @ 8.73% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-2 @ 4.85%
0-0 @ 3.93% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 18.88%
1-2 @ 4.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 3.88% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 15.27%

How you voted: Leicester vs Swansea

Leicester City
84.3%
Draw
8.3%
Swansea City
7.4%
108
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Swansea
1-3
Leicester
Grimes (20')
Cullen (14'), Darling (90+7')
Vestergaard (44'), Fatawu (63'), Iheanacho (87')
Justin (49'), Pereira (56'), Dewsbury-Hall (90+8')
Oct 21, 2017 3pm
Feb 12, 2017 4pm
Swansea
2-0
Leicester
Mawson (36'), Olsson (45')
Fer (26'), Cork (40')

Huth (36'), Chilwell (57')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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