Swansea2 - 0Morecambe
Form, Standings, Stats
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two
We said: Swansea City 2-0 Morecambe
With confidence low in the Morecambe ranks, Swansea will expect to take advantage. However, with changes likely in the home side's starting lineup, they may only score a goal in each half to secure the progress to the last 32. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 58.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-2 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Swansea City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Swansea City.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Morecambe |
58.68% ( -0.14) | 21.51% ( 0.07) | 19.8% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.29% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.5% ( -0.25) | 41.49% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.11% ( -0.26) | 63.89% ( 0.26) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.16% ( -0.12) | 13.84% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.79% ( -0.25) | 41.21% ( 0.25) |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.33% ( -0.09) | 34.67% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.6% ( -0.09) | 71.39% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Morecambe |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% 1-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.16% Total : 58.68% | 1-1 @ 10.05% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.51% | 1-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.01% Total : 19.8% |
