MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 12:19:53| >> :600:640581:640581:
Swansea logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 6, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Morecambe

Swansea
2 - 0
Morecambe

Patino (47'), Yates (87')
Wood (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Major (85'), Edwards (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Swansea City and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 1-0 West Brom
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Morecambe 2-2 Harrogate
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swansea City 2-0 Morecambe

With confidence low in the Morecambe ranks, Swansea will expect to take advantage. However, with changes likely in the home side's starting lineup, they may only score a goal in each half to secure the progress to the last 32. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 58.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-2 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Swansea City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Swansea City.

Result
Swansea CityDrawMorecambe
58.68% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14) 21.51% (0.074999999999999 0.07) 19.8% (0.061 0.06)
Both teams to score 56.29% (-0.157 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.5% (-0.253 -0.25)41.49% (0.254 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.11% (-0.256 -0.26)63.89% (0.258 0.26)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.16% (-0.124 -0.12)13.84% (0.125 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.79% (-0.247 -0.25)41.21% (0.248 0.25)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.33% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)34.67% (0.087999999999994 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.6% (-0.092000000000002 -0.09)71.39% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 58.68%
    Morecambe 19.8%
    Draw 21.51%
Swansea CityDrawMorecambe
2-1 @ 9.94%
1-0 @ 9.49% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 9.38% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.55% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.19% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.47% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.24% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.06% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.72% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.28% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.21% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 58.68%
1-1 @ 10.05% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.8% (0.055 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.51%
1-2 @ 5.32% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.08% (0.046 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.69% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.88%
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.95% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 19.8%

How you voted: Swansea vs Morecambe

Swansea City
80.6%
Draw
12.9%
Morecambe
6.5%
31
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Vikings
@
Bears
6pm
Lions
@
Colts
6pm
Patriots
@
Dolphins
6pm
Buccaneers
@
Giants
6pm
Chiefs
@
Panthers
6pm
Titans
@
Texans
6pm
Cowboys
@
Washington
9.05pm
Broncos
@
Raiders
9.25pm
49ers
@
Packers
9.25pm
Cardinals
@
Seahawks
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Crystal Palace121561017-78
19Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
20Southampton11119721-144


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!