League Two

League Two | Gameweek 25

Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Meadow Lane Stadium

Notts County
5 - 0
Morecambe

Langstaff (10' pen., 12', 36'), Crowley (24'), Jones (46')
Brindley (17')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Taylor (38'), McKiernan (66')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Notts County and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Notts County 3-0 Doncaster
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Morecambe

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Bradford 2-2 Morecambe
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Notts County 2-1 Morecambe

Notts County picked up a late Christmas present against Doncaster and will head into Friday's game with renewed confidence. Williams's side take on a Morecambe side who have struggled to steady their ship in recent weeks and we fancy them to claim all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 61.85%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 19.63% and a draw had a probability of 18.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.42%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-2 (4.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts County	Draw	Morecambe
61.85% ( -0.43)	18.51% ( 0.16)	19.63% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 67.36% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.87% (

-0.38)

27.13% (

0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.35% (

-0.48)

47.65% (

0.47)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.35% (

-0.2)

8.64% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.19% (

-0.49)

29.81% (

0.49)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.73%

26.26% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.62% (

61.38% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Notts County 61.86%

Morecambe 19.63%

Draw 18.51%

Notts County	Draw	Morecambe
2-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.04) 4-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.84% Total : 61.86%	1-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.52% Total : 18.51%	1-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.87% Total : 19.63%