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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 52.16%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.39%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
Result | ||
Notts County | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
52.16% ( 0.55) | 21.02% ( -0.15) | 26.81% ( -0.41) |
Both teams to score 67.51% ( 0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.13% ( 0.4) | 30.87% ( -0.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.77% ( 0.47) | 52.23% ( -0.47) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.74% ( 0.3) | 12.25% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.02% ( 0.62) | 37.98% ( -0.62) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.94% ( -0.05) | 23.05% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.11% ( -0.07) | 56.88% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Notts County | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.05) 4-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.72% Total : 52.16% | 1-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.5% Total : 21.02% | 1-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.01% Total : 26.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |