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Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Doncaster Rovers

Notts County
3 - 0
Doncaster

Crowley (33'), Langstaff (44'), Nemane (53')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Close (75'), Bailey (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Notts County and Doncaster Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Notts County 2-1 Doncaster Rovers

Notts County and Doncaster Rovers have had a contrasting first half of the season, with Rovers scrambling for points at the bottom end of the table. While Williams's men have suffered a drop-off in form in recent weeks, they boast the firepower needed to turn things around against Tuesday's visitors and we are tipping them to come out on top. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 52.16%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.39%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawDoncaster Rovers
52.16% (0.554 0.55) 21.02% (-0.149 -0.15) 26.81% (-0.405 -0.41)
Both teams to score 67.51% (0.187 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.13% (0.396 0.4)30.87% (-0.396 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.77% (0.47 0.47)52.23% (-0.47 -0.47)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.74% (0.297 0.3)12.25% (-0.298 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.02% (0.624 0.62)37.98% (-0.624 -0.62)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.94% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)23.05% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.11% (-0.073 -0.07)56.88% (0.073 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 52.16%
    Doncaster Rovers 26.81%
    Draw 21.02%
Notts CountyDrawDoncaster Rovers
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 6.39% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 6.23% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.93% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-2 @ 4.69% (0.046 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.36% (0.055 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.36% (0.076 0.08)
4-2 @ 2.46% (0.051 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.29% (0.054 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.41% (0.048 0.05)
4-3 @ 1.2% (0.024 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.03% (0.034 0.03)
5-0 @ 0.96% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 52.16%
1-1 @ 8.7% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-2 @ 6.7% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.83% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-3 @ 2.29% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 21.02%
1-2 @ 6.38% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
0-1 @ 4.15% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
2-3 @ 3.28% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.04% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 26.81%

How you voted: Notts County vs Doncaster

Notts County
87.5%
Draw
0.0%
Doncaster Rovers
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Doncaster
1-3
Notts County
Sotona (90+5')
Langstaff (28', 46'), Jones (54')
McGoldrick (16'), Jones (18'), Bostock (21')
Nov 14, 2018 7.45pm
Group Stage
Notts County
4-2
Doncaster
Dennis (15', 40', 63' pen.), Boldewijn (26')
Milsom (81')
May (50', 70')
Wilks (86')
Mar 14, 2017 7.45pm
Doncaster
3-1
Notts County
Coppinger (44'), Baudry (47'), Williams (95')
May (78')
Duffy (20')
Bola (71')
Dec 26, 2016 3pm
Apr 25, 2015 3pm
Notts County
2-1
Doncaster
Thompson (8'), Noble (60')
Hollis (46'), Burke (64'), Bajner (70')
Tyson (95' pen.)
Butler (67'), Jones (91')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
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8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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