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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 58.83%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 20.95% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.79%) and 0-1 (7.14%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 2-1 (5.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Notts County |
20.95% ( 0.32) | 20.21% ( 0.08) | 58.83% ( -0.41) |
Both teams to score 62.99% ( 0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.4% ( 0.06) | 33.6% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.59% ( 0.07) | 55.41% ( -0.07) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.01% ( 0.32) | 28.99% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.11% ( 0.4) | 64.88% ( -0.4) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.71% ( -0.09) | 11.29% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.09% ( -0.19) | 35.91% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | Notts County |
2-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.16% Total : 20.95% | 1-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.34% Total : 20.21% | 1-2 @ 9.64% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 7.01% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 5.66% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 4.34% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 3.82% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 3.09% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 2.37% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.67% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 1.35% ( -0.03) 2-5 @ 1.03% ( -0) 3-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 58.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |