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Championship header 2

League Two
Morecambe
League Two | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Harrogate Town

Morecambe
2 - 2
Harrogate

Slew (57'), Bedeau (90+2')
Brannan (0'), Slew (87'), Songo'o (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Muldoon (44'), Thomson (83')
Burrell (90+4'), Belshaw (90+3'), Burrell (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Morecambe and Harrogate Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Notts County 5-0 Morecambe
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

Harrogate Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 0-2 Tranmere
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Morecambe 1-1 Harrogate Town

 With just one point separating Morecambe and Harrogate Town in the table, we anticipate an end-to-end affair at the Mazuma Mobile Stadium with both sides going all out in search of a morale-boosting result. Both teams are evenly matched on paper and we predict that they will settle for a point apiece. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawHarrogate Town
41.55% (0.017000000000003 0.02) 25.73% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 32.72% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.46% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.42% (0.097000000000001 0.1)49.58% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.39% (0.089000000000002 0.09)71.6% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.34% (0.052999999999997 0.05)23.66% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.23% (0.074000000000005 0.07)57.76% (-0.07 -0.07)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.34% (0.052999999999997 0.05)28.66% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.53% (0.065999999999995 0.07)64.47% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 41.55%
    Harrogate Town 32.72%
    Draw 25.73%
MorecambeDrawHarrogate Town
1-0 @ 9.77% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.04% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.23% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.38% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.22% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 41.55%
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.78% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.5% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.73%
0-1 @ 8.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.29% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 32.72%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Harrogate
2-0
Morecambe
Armstrong (20' pen.), Thomson (66')
Sutton (47'), Falkingham (82'), Oxley (83')

Bedeau (20'), Rawson (20'), Major (45+4'), Love (90+1')
Rawson (64')
Oct 18, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Harrogate
2-1
Morecambe
O'Boyle (28'), Welch-Hayes (90+6')
Major (2')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 37
Harrogate
0-1
Morecambe

Jones (72')
Smith (1' og.)
Knight-Percival (39'), Stockton (45'), Gibson (89'), O'Sullivan (90+4')
Knight-Percival (75')
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 17
Morecambe
1-0
Harrogate
Wildig (56')
Wildig (84'), Halstead (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310
> League Two Full Table


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