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FA Cup
Bournemouth logo
FA Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 25, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Vitality Stadium
Swansea logo

Bournemouth
5 - 0
Swansea

Kelly (7'), Scott (10'), Sinisterra (14'), Brooks (35'), Solanke (44')
Solanke (45'), Scott (79')
FT(HT: 5-0)

Wood (6'), Ashby (63'), Allen (66'), Fulton (76')

The Match

Match Report

Bournemouth book their spot in the fifth round of the FA Cup courtesy of a 5-0 victory over Championship outfit Swansea City.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's FA Cup clash between Bournemouth and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bournemouth

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-4 Liverpool
Sunday, January 21 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Swansea City

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Swansea 1-3 Southampton
Saturday, January 20 at 12.30pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.03%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 2-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result
BournemouthDrawSwansea City
33.39% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 23.29% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 43.32% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Both teams to score 63.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.85% (0.0049999999999955 0)38.15% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)60.42% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.23% (-0.012 -0.01)22.76% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.54% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)56.45% (0.012 0.01)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.96% (0.010000000000005 0.01)18.04% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.06% (0.021000000000001 0.02)48.94% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 33.39%
    Swansea City 43.32%
    Draw 23.29%
BournemouthDrawSwansea City
2-1 @ 7.7% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-0 @ 6.08% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 4.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.22% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.41% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 33.39%
1-1 @ 10.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.6% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.86%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.29%
1-2 @ 8.91% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 7.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 6.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 5.09% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-3 @ 3.77% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 3.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 2.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-4 @ 1.61% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.47% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 43.32%

How you voted: Bournemouth vs Swansea

Bournemouth
81.1%
Draw
9.4%
Swansea City
9.4%
127
Head to Head
Aug 29, 2023 7.30pm
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2-3
Bournemouth
Grimes (9' pen.), Paterson (79')
Ginnelly (24'), Abdulai (52'), Naughton (53')
Brooks (55'), Traore (68'), Christie (90+1')
Brooks (21'), Senesi (39'), Solanke (86'), Kerkez (90+5')
> Preview
Apr 26, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
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3-3
Bournemouth
Piroe (6', 12'), Christie (58')
Christie (45+4'), Smith (53')
Moore (72', 90'), Solanke (81' pen.)
Lowe (30'), Anthony (56'), Phillips (67'), Billing (75'), Lerma (84'), Solanke (90+6')
> Preview
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 17
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4-0
Swansea
Solanke (25', 49'), Anthony (64', 90+3')
Billing (29'), Solanke (40')

Downes (30'), Bennett (39'), Ntcham (53')
> Preview
Mar 16, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
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3-0
Swansea
Billing (9'), Latibeaudiere (45+1' og.), Danjuma (87')
Rico (58')
> Match Report
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Smith (10')
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> Match Report
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