Championship

Championship | Gameweek 37

Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK

Vicarage Road

Watford
1 - 2
Coventry

Porteous (20')
Hoedt (26')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Wright (40' pen., 72')
Kelly (19'), Palmer (23'), Bidwell (45+1'), Thomas (66'), Wright (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions

Last Game: Watford 1-1 Swansea
Wednesday, March 6 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Coventry City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Coventry 5-0 Rotherham
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Watford 1-1 Coventry City

Having not won at Vicarage Road since November 25, Watford are devoid of confidence on their own patch but possess the quality to earn a result this weekend. Coventry have alternated lacklustre displays with handsome victories over the past fortnight - we are expecting something in the middle of those two extremes from the Sky Blues on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Watford	Draw	Coventry City
38.73% ( 0.04)	25.48% ( -0.01)	35.79% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 55.98% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.09% (

0.04)

47.91% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.91% (

0.03)

70.09% (

-0.03)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.64% (

0.04)

24.36% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.23% (

0.05)

58.77% (

-0.05)

Coventry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.02% (

-0)

25.99% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39% (

-0)

61% (

Score Analysis

Watford 38.73%

Coventry City 35.79%

Draw 25.47%

Watford	Draw	Coventry City
1-0 @ 8.94% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.31% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.97% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 38.73%	1-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.47%	0-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.12% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.65% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.36% Total : 35.79%