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Championship | Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Sunderland

Cardiff
0 - 2
Sunderland


Wintle (64'), Bowler (64')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Aouchiche (12' pen.), Bellingham (27')
Styles (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 2-0 Cardiff
Saturday, March 16 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 0-0 QPR
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 1-1 Sunderland

There has only been one draw in the last 12 meetings between these two teams in all competitions, but we have a feeling that the points will be shared on Friday. Sunderland managed to end their losing run last time out and certainly have enough quality to avoid defeat in Wales on Friday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawSunderland
33.22% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 27.07% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 39.71% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 50.31% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.04% (0.044000000000004 0.04)54.96% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.76% (0.036000000000001 0.04)76.24% (-0.038000000000011 -0.04)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)31.01% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)67.32% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.93% (0.042000000000002 0.04)27.07% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.55% (0.058 0.06)62.45% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 33.22%
    Sunderland 39.7%
    Draw 27.07%
Cardiff CityDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 9.83% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.94%
3-0 @ 2.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 33.22%
1-1 @ 12.84%
0-0 @ 8.4% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.07%
0-1 @ 10.96% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.39% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.66% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.12% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 39.7%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Sunderland

Cardiff City
64.1%
Draw
20.3%
Sunderland
15.6%
64
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Sunderland
0-1
Cardiff

Ba (9'), Burstow (58')
McGuinness (87')
Siopis (55'), Colwill (77')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Jan 13, 2018 12.30pm
Cardiff
4-0
Sunderland
Paterson (46', 80'), Ralls (55'), Pilkington (90')
Morrison (85')

Oviedo (41'), Gooch (45')
Ndong (49')
Sep 23, 2017 3pm
Sunderland
1-2
Cardiff
Gooch (53' pen.)
Cattermole (11'), Browning (70'), Kone (73')
Bryson (7'), Ralls (73' pen.)
Richards (19'), Gunnarsson (60'), Ralls (81')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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