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Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Sunderland

Southampton
4 - 2
Sunderland

Armstrong (9'), Armstrong (37' pen.), Rothwell (77', 80')
Aribo (90'), Rothwell (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Mundle (62'), Bellingham (71')
Seelt (8'), Ballard (31'), Hjelde (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Southampton and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 0-1 Leicester
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Southampton 3-1 Sunderland

Sunderland have reached a stage where they can probably throw caution to the wind and go all out for three points. However, Southampton may benefit from the unforeseen midweek break and could make relatively light work of their opponents who are devoid of confidence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 54.37%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 23.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-2 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawSunderland
54.37% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01) 22.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 23.44% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.34% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.05% (-0.012 -0.01)39.95% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.69% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)62.31% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.31% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)14.69% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.14% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)42.86% (0.014999999999993 0.01)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.56%30.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.35% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)66.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 54.37%
    Sunderland 23.44%
    Draw 22.19%
SouthamptonDrawSunderland
2-1 @ 9.78%
1-0 @ 8.58% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.23%
3-1 @ 6.26% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.26% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 3% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.52% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.78% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 54.37%
1-1 @ 10.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.82%
0-0 @ 4.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.19%
1-2 @ 6.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 5.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.16% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.25% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 23.44%

How you voted: Southampton vs Sunderland

Southampton
75.0%
Draw
18.8%
Sunderland
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 5
Sunderland
5-0
Southampton
Clarke (1'), Ekwah (7', 45'), Dack (48'), Rigg (90+5')
Ba (39'), O'Nien (42')

Mara (35'), Adams (69')
Feb 11, 2017 3pm
Sunderland
0-4
Southampton

Khazri (94')
Gabbiadini (30', 45'), Denayer (89' og.), Long (92')
Oct 26, 2016 7.45pm
Round Four
Southampton
1-0
Sunderland
Boufal (66')
Olomola (61')

Khazri (45'), Jones (64'), Ndong (94')
Mar 5, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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