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Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 35
Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Sunderland

Norwich
1 - 0
Sunderland

Sargent (81')
Giannoulis (76'), Sorensen (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hume (44'), Ekwah (59'), Seelt (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 1-1 Norwich
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship

Sunderland

All competitions
Last Game: Sunderland 1-2 Swansea
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 3-1 Sunderland

 Despite dropping two points at Blackburn last weekend, Norwich are still in brilliant form and should be confident of potentially breaking into the top six on Saturday. Sunderland are in a real rut as they battle on without their star man Clarke and a permanent manager, so we are not expecting much from the Black Cats at Carrow Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawSunderland
41.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.66% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 33.44% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 58.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.35% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)44.65% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.99% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)67.01% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.64% (0.00099999999999056 0)21.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.67%54.33% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.18% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)25.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.22% (0.010999999999996 0.01)60.78% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 41.9%
    Sunderland 33.44%
    Draw 24.66%
Norwich CityDrawSunderland
2-1 @ 8.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.51% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 6.57% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.58%
3-0 @ 3.38% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.1%
4-1 @ 1.77%
4-0 @ 1.31%
4-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 41.9%
1-1 @ 11.52%
2-2 @ 6.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.52% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.66%
1-2 @ 7.81% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 7.47%
0-2 @ 5.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.52% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 33.44%

How you voted: Norwich vs Sunderland

Norwich City
73.8%
Draw
19.0%
Sunderland
7.1%
42
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Sunderland
3-1
Norwich
Hume (37'), Neill (45'), Clarke (80' pen.)
Ekwah (24'), O'Nien (41'), Pritchard (89'), Semedo (90+5')
Ui-jo (23')
Fassnacht (11'), Giannoulis (61'), McLean (79'), Idah (90+5')
> Preview
Mar 12, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 36
Norwich
0-1
Sunderland
Ba (15')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 6
Sunderland
0-1
Norwich

Cirkin (25'), O'Nien (35')
Sargent (76')
Sargent (90+1'), Krul (90+2')
> Preview
Apr 10, 2018 7.45pm
Sunderland
1-1
Norwich
Honeyman (62')
Pinto (89')
Aug 13, 2017 1.30pm
Norwich
1-3
Sunderland
Grabban (78' og.)
Grabban (27', 71'), McGeady (59')
Vaughan (53')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920
> Championship Full Table


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