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Championship | Gameweek 34
Feb 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Stoke logo

Cardiff
2 - 1
Stoke

Etete (5'), Grant (32')
Ng (40'), Siopis (51'), Ralls (76'), Goutas (83')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bae (41')
Thompson (45+2'), Burger (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 0-0 Blackburn
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Coventry
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 1-1 Stoke City

Cardiff's season is beginning to stagnate following a worrying run of results, and we cannot envisage a change in the Bluebirds' fortunes on Saturday. Stoke have been more competitive in matches recently under Schumacher, and we believe that the Potters will be good enough to return to Staffordshire with a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Cardiff City has a probability of 31.55% and a draw has a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Cardiff City win is 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.7%).

Result
Cardiff CityDrawStoke City
31.55% (-0.18 -0.18) 26.76% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 41.69% (0.2 0.2)
Both teams to score 50.77% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.85% (0.034999999999997 0.03)54.14% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.44% (0.030000000000001 0.03)75.56% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.26% (-0.107 -0.11)31.73% (0.103 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.84% (-0.122 -0.12)68.16% (0.12 0.12)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.37% (0.11999999999999 0.12)25.63% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.48% (0.16699999999999 0.17)60.52% (-0.169 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 31.55%
    Stoke City 41.69%
    Draw 26.75%
Cardiff CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 9.34% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.29% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.36% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.79% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.05% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 31.55%
1-1 @ 12.7% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.75%
0-1 @ 11.07% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.65% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.54% (0.042 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.93% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.42% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.013 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.16% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 41.69%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Stoke

Cardiff City
39.5%
Draw
34.9%
Stoke City
25.6%
43
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Stoke
0-0
Cardiff
McNally (42')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 44
Cardiff
1-1
Stoke
Kaba (29')
Laurent (16')
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Stoke
2-2
Cardiff
Campbell (11'), Delap (18')
Wintle (6'), Robinson (58')
Mar 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Cardiff
2-1
Stoke
Doyle (39'), Hugill (43')
Hugill (68')
Baker (23')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 15
Stoke
3-3
Cardiff
Brown (9'), Fletcher (16', 46')
Wilmot (62'), Souttar (64'), Surridge (83')
Colwill (66'), Harris (70'), Moore (71')
Nelson (39'), Bacuna (57'), Harris (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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