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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 35
Mar 2, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Bristol City
0 - 1
Cardiff


King (48'), Gardner-Hickman (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ng (66')
Etete (15'), Wilson-Esbrand (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 2-1 Stoke
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 2-1 Cardiff City

Despite some unacceptable results since the turn of the calendar year, Bristol City have shown the ability to rise to the big occasion at Ashton Gate, and we feel that the Robins could repeat the trick on Saturday. Cardiff's win over struggling Stoke last time out was much needed, but we believe it does not signal a long-term change in fortunes for the Bluebirds during the remainder of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawCardiff City
44.13% (-0.11 -0.11) 25.95% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 29.92% (0.102 0.1)
Both teams to score 52.54% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.48% (0.010999999999996 0.01)51.52% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.68% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)73.32% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.75% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)23.25% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.84% (-0.067 -0.07)57.16% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.46% (0.076999999999998 0.08)31.54% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.07% (0.090999999999998 0.09)67.93% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 44.12%
    Cardiff City 29.92%
    Draw 25.95%
Bristol CityDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 10.69% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.8% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.38% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.8% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 44.12%
1-1 @ 12.34%
0-0 @ 7.33% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-2 @ 5.2% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 8.46% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.12% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.88% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.74% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.88% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 29.92%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Cardiff

Bristol City
64.3%
Draw
14.3%
Cardiff City
21.4%
28
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Cardiff
2-0
Bristol City
Ng (33'), Colwill (90+1')
Meite (54')

Dickie (9'), Mehmeti (45')
Mar 4, 2023 12.30pm
Aug 21, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 5
Bristol City
2-0
Cardiff
Conway (41'), Atkinson (64')
Massengo (36'), Vyner (60'), Williams (81'), Scott (89')

Kipre (63'), Colwill (75'), Wintle (89')
Jan 22, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 28
Bristol City
3-2
Cardiff
Martin (33', 63'), Weimann (77')
Pring (73')
Collins (31'), Watters (90')
Collins (23'), Ralls (44')
Aug 28, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 5
Cardiff
1-2
Bristol City
Bentley (59' og.)
Morrison (74'), Ralls (87')
Weimann (21', 70')
Semenyo (74'), Martin (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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