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Nottingham Forest logo
FA Cup | Fourth Round Replays
Feb 7, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The City Ground
Bristol City

Nott'm Forest
1 - 1
Bristol City

Origi (8')
FT
(aet)
Knight (14')
Conway (58')
Nott'm Forest win 5-3 on penalties

The Match

Match Report

Nottingham Forest secure their spot in the fifth round of the FA Cup courtesy of a penalty-shootout victory over Championship side Bristol City.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's FA Cup clash between Nottingham Forest and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 0-1 Leeds
Friday, February 2 at 8pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%).

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawBristol City
30.41% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 26.73% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 42.85% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.38% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.57% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)54.43% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.2% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)75.8% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.31% (0.0019999999999953 0)32.68% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.76% (0.0010000000000012 0)69.23% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.84% (-0.02300000000001 -0.02)25.16% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.12% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)59.88% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 30.41%
    Bristol City 42.84%
    Draw 26.73%
Nottingham ForestDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 9.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.1% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 5.14% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.92% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 30.41%
1-1 @ 12.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.22% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.73%
0-1 @ 11.34%
1-2 @ 8.76% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 7.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 3.6% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.39% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.24% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 42.84%

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Bristol City

Nottingham Forest
75.0%
Draw
13.6%
Bristol City
11.4%
184
Head to Head
Jan 26, 2024 7.45pm
Fourth Round
Bristol City
0-0
Nott'm Forest
Pring (20'), James (40'), Gardner-Hickman (90+1')
Yates (30'), Dominguez (34')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 35
Nott'm Forest
2-0
Bristol City
Johnson (38'), Garner (55')
Johnson (32')

Pring (9'), Scott (35'), Kalas (69'), Klose (90+4')
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Bristol City
1-2
Nott'm Forest
Scott (40')
Scott (66')
Mighten (90+1' pen.), Taylor (90+2')
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 4
Nott'm Forest
1-2
Bristol City
Freeman (35')
Weimann (12'), Wells (22')
Hunt (39'), Mawson (43')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City5410135813
2Liverpool5401101912
3Aston Villa5401107312
4Arsenal532083511
5Chelsea5311115610
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle531176110
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton52308449
8Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest52306429
9Fulham52217528
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs52129547
11Manchester UnitedMan Utd52125507
12Brentford520379-26
13Bournemouth512258-35
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham511359-44
15Leicester CityLeicester503268-23
16Crystal Palace503247-33
17Ipswich TownIpswich503238-53
18Southampton501429-71
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves5014514-91
20Everton5014514-91


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