Home > Football > Championship
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 46.6%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Queens Park Rangers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Queens Park Rangers.
Result | ||
Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Birmingham City |
46.6% ( -0.26) | 25.42% ( 0.03) | 27.97% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 53% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.64% ( 0.02) | 50.36% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.7% ( 0.02) | 72.3% ( -0.02) |
Queens Park Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.39% ( -0.11) | 21.61% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.28% ( -0.16) | 54.72% ( 0.16) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.62% ( 0.19) | 32.38% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.1% ( 0.22) | 68.89% ( -0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Birmingham City |
1-0 @ 10.72% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.21% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.67% 4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 46.6% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.62% Total : 27.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
> Championship Full Table |