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Championship header 2

Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Preston North End logo

Birmingham
1 - 0
Preston

Stansfield (68')
Laird (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Keane (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last Game: QPR 2-1 Birmingham
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship

Preston North End

All competitions
Last Game: Preston 3-0 Rotherham
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Preston North End

 With relegation becoming more of a possibility as the season progresses, Birmingham need a positive result to halt a worrying slide since the loss of Mowbray. Preston are aiming to string a couple of wins together in order to keep pace with the top six, but we feel that the Lilywhites will have to settle for a point here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 37.42%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Birmingham City in this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawPreston North End
37.42% (-0.717 -0.72) 27.36% (0.34 0.34) 35.22% (0.385 0.38)
Both teams to score 49.74% (-1.024 -1.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.18% (-1.304 -1.3)55.83% (1.311 1.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.05% (-1.073 -1.07)76.95% (1.08 1.08)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.2% (-1.044 -1.04)28.8% (1.051 1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.35% (-1.321 -1.32)64.65% (1.329 1.33)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.86% (-0.40300000000001 -0.4)30.14% (0.41 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.71% (-0.488 -0.49)66.29% (0.495 0.5)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 37.41%
    Preston North End 35.22%
    Draw 27.35%
Birmingham CityDrawPreston North End
1-0 @ 10.8% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 8.07% (-0.157 -0.16)
2-0 @ 6.73% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.35% (-0.167 -0.17)
3-0 @ 2.79% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.124 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 37.41%
1-1 @ 12.95% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 8.68% (0.43 0.43)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.151 -0.15)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.35%
0-1 @ 10.41% (0.41 0.41)
1-2 @ 7.77% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.24% (0.173 0.17)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.5% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 35.22%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Preston

Birmingham City
23.9%
Draw
20.9%
Preston North End
55.2%
67
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Preston
2-1
Birmingham
Bielik (51' og.), Osmajic (67')
Whatmough (48'), Osmajic (68')
Stansfield (46')
Bacuna (72')
> Preview
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 28
Birmingham
1-2
Preston
Jutkiewicz (83')
Ledson (10'), Browne (15')
> Preview
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 8
Preston
0-1
Birmingham

Evans (83')
Colin (16')
Roberts (65'), Hogan (69'), James (90+5')
> Preview
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 27
Preston
1-1
Birmingham
Bauer (31')
Whiteman (72')
Hogan (86')
Mengi (56')
> Preview
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 9
Birmingham
0-0
Preston
Bela (45+1')
Bauer (39'), Storey (62'), Ledson (72')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310
> Championship Full Table


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