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Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
Deepdale
Stoke logo

Preston
1 - 2
Stoke

Osmajic (68')
Whiteman (21'), McCann (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hughes (64' og.), McNally (87')
Burger (21'), Hoever (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 0-0 Hull City
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 1-0 Stoke
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Preston North End 2-1 Stoke City

Preston are enjoying their longest unbeaten run since the beginning of the campaign and will be raring to go after Wednesday night's postponement in Southampton. Stoke face another daunting away trip following their visit to Leeds on Tuesday, and we feel that the Potters will struggle to match the Lilywhites physically at Deepdale, resulting in defeat for Schumacher's charges. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 36.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Preston North EndDrawStoke City
38.31% (0.025000000000006 0.03) 25.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 36.47% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.98% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.34% (0.024000000000001 0.02)46.66% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.08% (0.023 0.02)68.92% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.98% (0.025000000000006 0.03)24.02% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.72% (0.034999999999997 0.03)58.27% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.99% (0.0010000000000048 0)25.01% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.32%59.68%
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 38.31%
    Stoke City 36.47%
    Draw 25.21%
Preston North EndDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 8.57% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
2-1 @ 8.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.03% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 38.31%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 6.01% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.87% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 8.33% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.23% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 5.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.8% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.66% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 1.32%
2-4 @ 0.94%
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 36.47%

How you voted: Preston vs Stoke

Preston North End
70.0%
Draw
15.0%
Stoke City
15.0%
60
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Stoke
0-2
Preston

Pearson (1'), Stevens (63'), Laurent (90+6')
Keane (51' pen., 57')
Lindsay (24'), Frokjaer-Jensen (45+1'), Holmes (63'), Browne (67')
Jan 2, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 26
Stoke
0-1
Preston
Evans (90+3')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Preston
0-2
Stoke
Smallbone (58'), Campbell (66')
Jan 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 26
Stoke
1-2
Preston
Wilmot (46')
Allen (64'), Doughty (79'), Ince (90+4')
Potts (59'), Hughes (81')
Hughes (49'), Ledson (90+1')
Sep 28, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Preston
1-1
Stoke
Whiteman (38')
Cunningham (31'), Riis Jakobsen (88')
Powell (6')
Skiri Oestigaard (25'), Wilmot (83'), Tymon (90'), Clucas (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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