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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 36.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Preston North End | Draw | Stoke City |
38.31% ( 0.03) | 25.21% ( -0.01) | 36.47% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 56.98% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.34% ( 0.02) | 46.66% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.08% ( 0.02) | 68.92% ( -0.02) |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.98% ( 0.03) | 24.02% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.72% ( 0.03) | 58.27% ( -0.03) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.99% ( 0) | 25.01% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.32% | 59.68% |
Score Analysis |
Preston North End | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 8.57% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.11% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.03% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.91% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 1.97% Total : 38.31% | 1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.8% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.66% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.32% 2-4 @ 0.94% 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 36.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 32 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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