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Championship header 2

Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Elland Road
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Leeds
1 - 0
Stoke

James (33')
Gruev (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Laurent (37'), Pearson (69')
Pearson (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Huddersfield 1-1 Leeds
Saturday, March 2 at 12.30pm in Championship

Stoke City

All competitions
Last Game: Stoke 2-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 3-1 Stoke City

 Stoke's offensive forces are rarely kept out on enemy territory, but shutting up shop at the other end of the pitch is where the Potters' problems lie away from home, and such vulnerabilities will surely be exposed by the Championship's best home team. Fatigue may be starting to set in for Farke's overworked troops, but the Whites boss can adjust his attacking setup with some formidable options and ought to oversee a seventh straight league win at Elland Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 61.09%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 18.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 1-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Stoke City win it was 1-2 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawStoke City
61.09% (0.394 0.39) 20.65% (0.061 0.06) 18.26% (-0.453 -0.45)
Both teams to score 56.48% (-1.098 -1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.09% (-1.032 -1.03)39.91% (1.034 1.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.72% (-1.078 -1.08)62.27% (1.081 1.08)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.38% (-0.208 -0.21)12.62% (0.211 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.25% (-0.433 -0.43)38.74% (0.435 0.44)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.64% (-1.098 -1.1)35.36% (1.102 1.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.88% (-1.162 -1.16)72.12% (1.164 1.16)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 61.09%
    Stoke City 18.26%
    Draw 20.65%
Leeds UnitedDrawStoke City
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.56% (0.303 0.3)
1-0 @ 9.24% (0.365 0.37)
3-1 @ 6.86% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 6.6% (0.157 0.16)
3-2 @ 3.56% (-0.13 -0.13)
4-1 @ 3.55% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.41% (0.055 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.84% (-0.083 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.47% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.41% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 61.09%
1-1 @ 9.6% (0.099 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.145 -0.15)
0-0 @ 4.46% (0.211 0.21)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.65%
1-2 @ 4.99% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-1 @ 4.64% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.41% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.79% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 18.26%

How you voted: Leeds vs Stoke

Leeds United
86.7%
Draw
6.3%
Stoke City
7.0%
143
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 13
Stoke
1-0
Leeds
Struijk (80' og.)
Thompson (62')

Gnonto (68'), Rutter (78'), Summerville (90+2')
> Preview
Sep 1, 2020 1pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Stoke
3-0
Leeds
Collins (1'), Gregory (2'), Ince (3')
Jul 9, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 42
Leeds
5-0
Stoke
> Match Report
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
Second Round
Leeds
2-2
Stoke
 Stoke win 5-4 on penalties
Nketiah (67'), Costa (81')
McCalmont (33'), Douglas (90')
Batth (39'), Vokes (44')
Martins Indi (22'), Carter-Vickers (60')
> Match Report
Aug 24, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 5
Stoke
0-3
Leeds
Dallas (42'), Alioski (50'), Bamford (66')
Nketiah (80'), Phillips (90+4')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116
> Championship Full Table


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