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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 60.72%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 16.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.2%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
Result | ||
Leeds United | Draw | Stoke City |
60.72% | 23.05% | 16.23% |
Both teams to score 44.87% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.66% | 53.33% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.12% | 74.87% |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.8% | 17.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.52% | 47.47% |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.19% | 45.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.43% | 81.57% |
Score Analysis |
Leeds United | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 13.86% 2-0 @ 12.2% 2-1 @ 9.53% 3-0 @ 7.16% 3-1 @ 5.59% 4-0 @ 3.15% 4-1 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 2.18% 5-0 @ 1.11% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.49% Total : 60.71% | 1-1 @ 10.82% 0-0 @ 7.88% 2-2 @ 3.72% Other @ 0.62% Total : 23.04% | 0-1 @ 6.15% 1-2 @ 4.23% 0-2 @ 2.4% 1-3 @ 1.1% 2-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.38% Total : 16.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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