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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Southampton logo

Cardiff
2 - 1
Southampton

Diedhiou (68'), Ashford (90+6')
Phillips (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Aribo (12')
Armstrong (43'), Deen Sulemana (81'), Bednarek (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 3-1 Cardiff
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 3-0 Preston
Tuesday, April 16 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 1-2 Southampton

With the pressure off Cardiff, we expect the Bluebirds to throw caution to the wind in search of maximum points. Nevertheless, Southampton could still edge this contest, aware that they can ill-afford any dropped points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 54.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 22.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 2-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawSouthampton
22.46% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 22.67% (0.0019999999999989 0) 54.87% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.4% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.75% (0.018000000000001 0.02)43.24% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.35% (0.018000000000001 0.02)65.64% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.88% (0.029000000000011 0.03)33.11% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.28% (0.033999999999999 0.03)69.71% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.33% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)15.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.3%44.7% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 22.46%
    Southampton 54.87%
    Draw 22.66%
Cardiff CityDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 5.87% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 5.73% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 3.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.16% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 22.46%
1-1 @ 10.62%
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 5.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.66%
1-2 @ 9.85%
0-1 @ 9.62% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.91% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 5.51% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 3.36% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-4 @ 2.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 2.55% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.56% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 1.05%
0-5 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 54.87%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Southampton

Cardiff City
Draw
Southampton
Cardiff City
20.0%
Draw
10.0%
Southampton
70.0%
50
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Southampton
2-0
Cardiff
Armstrong (11', 15')
Downes (25')

Colwill (72')
Jul 27, 2021 7pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Cardiff
0-4
Southampton
Walcott (37'), Djenepo (66'), Adams (73', 84')
Feb 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 26
Southampton
1-2
Cardiff
Stephens (91')
Ward-Prowse (45'), Redmond (89'), Romeu (90')
Bamba (69'), Zohore (93')
Gunnarsson (61'), Bamba (70'), Zohore (90')
Dec 8, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 16
Cardiff
1-0
Southampton
Paterson (74')
Morrison (19'), Bennett (66')

Valery (28'), Romeu (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds382311476255180
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd38257653282580
3Burnley382115252114178
4Sunderland381912755371869
5Coventry CityCoventry38178135548759
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381318748341457
7Bristol City38141594941857
8Middlesbrough38159145748954
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn38157164240252
10Watford38157164751-452
11Millwall381312133739-251
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38149155359-651
13Norwich CityNorwich381213136054649
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR381112154450-645
16Swansea CitySwansea38128183849-1144
17Portsmouth38119184661-1542
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd381012163955-1642
19Hull City381011173947-841
20Stoke CityStoke38912173751-1439
21Cardiff CityCardiff38912174262-2039
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton3898213460-2635
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth38712194077-3733


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