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Championship | Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Southampton
1 - 1
Middlesbrough

Armstrong (12')
Downes (34'), Armstrong (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Latte Lath (90')
Ayling (45+2'), Latte Lath (50'), Jones (50'), Azaz (62'), O'Brien (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Southampton and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-0 Blackburn
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Southampton 2-1 Middlesbrough

Both sides will be motivated to collect maximum points to boost their promotion hopes, and although Southampton will be regarded as slight favourites, Middlesbrough cannot be taken lightly considering their away form and victory over the Saints in the reverse fixture. Six of the last eight meetings between these two sides have seen both teams score, with Southampton netting in all eight of those matches, and we can see the Saints just edging this closely-fought contest on Good Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 55.31%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 23.45% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.55%) and 1-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
SouthamptonDrawMiddlesbrough
55.31% (0.0039999999999978 0) 21.23% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 23.45% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 62.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.63% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)35.36% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.61% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)57.39% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.15% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)12.84% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.8% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)39.2% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.1% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)27.9% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.48% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)63.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 55.31%
    Middlesbrough 23.45%
    Draw 21.23%
SouthamptonDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 9.63%
2-0 @ 7.55% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 7.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 6.59%
3-0 @ 5.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 4.21% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 3.38%
4-0 @ 2.65%
4-2 @ 2.16%
5-1 @ 1.39%
5-0 @ 1.09% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 55.31%
1-1 @ 9.39%
2-2 @ 6.15% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 1.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 21.23%
1-2 @ 5.99%
0-1 @ 4.57%
0-2 @ 2.92%
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.55% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.24% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 23.45%

How you voted: Southampton vs Middlesbrough

Southampton
74.1%
Draw
17.2%
Middlesbrough
8.6%
58
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Middlesbrough
2-1
Southampton
McGree (44'), Howson (66' pen.)
Jones (53'), Hackney (58'), Smith (90+6')
Armstrong (17')
Martin (54')
May 13, 2017 3pm
Dec 11, 2016 2.15pm
Southampton
1-0
Middlesbrough
Boufal (53')
Tadic (22'), Boufal (45'), Fonte (55'), Romeu (58')

Barragan (17'), Forshaw (52'), Clayton (80')
Apr 21, 2012 3pm
Oct 29, 2011 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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