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Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Southampton
1 - 1
Middlesbrough

Armstrong (12')
Downes (34'), Armstrong (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Latte Lath (90')
Ayling (45+2'), Latte Lath (50'), Jones (50'), Azaz (62'), O'Brien (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Southampton and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Southampton 4-2 Sunderland
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-0 Blackburn
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Southampton 2-1 Middlesbrough

 Both sides will be motivated to collect maximum points to boost their promotion hopes, and although Southampton will be regarded as slight favourites, Middlesbrough cannot be taken lightly considering their away form and victory over the Saints in the reverse fixture. Six of the last eight meetings between these two sides have seen both teams score, with Southampton netting in all eight of those matches, and we can see the Saints just edging this closely-fought contest on Good Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 55.31%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 23.45% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.55%) and 1-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
SouthamptonDrawMiddlesbrough
55.31% (0.0039999999999978 0) 21.23% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 23.45% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 62.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.63% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)35.36% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.61% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)57.39% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.15% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)12.84% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.8% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)39.2% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.1% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)27.9% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.48% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)63.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 55.31%
    Middlesbrough 23.45%
    Draw 21.23%
SouthamptonDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 9.63%
2-0 @ 7.55% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 7.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 6.59%
3-0 @ 5.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 4.21% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 3.38%
4-0 @ 2.65%
4-2 @ 2.16%
5-1 @ 1.39%
5-0 @ 1.09% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 55.31%
1-1 @ 9.39%
2-2 @ 6.15% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 1.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 21.23%
1-2 @ 5.99%
0-1 @ 4.57%
0-2 @ 2.92%
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.55% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.24% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 23.45%

How you voted: Southampton vs Middlesbrough

Southampton
74.1%
Draw
17.2%
Middlesbrough
8.6%
58
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Middlesbrough
2-1
Southampton
McGree (44'), Howson (66' pen.)
Jones (53'), Hackney (58'), Smith (90+6')
Armstrong (17')
Martin (54')
> Preview
May 13, 2017 3pm
Middlesbrough
1-2
Southampton
Bamford (73')
Clayton (66'), Gibson (86'), de Roon (90')
Rodriguez (42'), Redmond (57')
> Match Report
Dec 11, 2016 2.15pm
Southampton
1-0
Middlesbrough
Boufal (53')
Tadic (22'), Boufal (45'), Fonte (55'), Romeu (58')

Barragan (17'), Forshaw (52'), Clayton (80')
> Match Report
Apr 21, 2012 3pm
Middlesbrough
2-1
Southampton
Bailey (45'), Zemmama (77')
Zemmama (37'), Bailey (49'), Hines (51')
Sharp (1')
Oct 29, 2011 3pm
Southampton
3-0
Middlesbrough
Connolly (80')

Robson (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310
> Championship Full Table


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