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Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Coventry City

Southampton
2 - 1
Coventry

Walker-Peters (18'), Adams (38')
Downes (42')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Bidwell (68')
Latibeaudiere (3'), Eccles (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Southampton and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Southampton 2-2 Coventry City

Southampton are unlikely to fire a blank in front of goal in back-to-back matches, but the Saints' defensive fragility always gives their opposition a chance going the other way. Coventry have showcased their ability to produce shock results on the road in recent times, and we reckon that the Sky Blues will force a share of the spoils on the South Coast. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 54.28%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 24.13% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.54%) and 1-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Southampton in this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawCoventry City
54.28% (-3.152 -3.15) 21.58% (1.099 1.1) 24.13% (2.056 2.06)
Both teams to score 62.42% (-1.29 -1.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.71% (-2.873 -2.87)36.28% (2.875 2.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.59% (-3.213 -3.21)58.41% (3.216 3.22)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.54% (-1.85 -1.85)13.46% (1.852 1.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.55% (-3.847 -3.85)40.45% (3.85 3.85)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.13% (0.051999999999992 0.05)27.87% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.52% (0.066000000000003 0.07)63.48% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 54.29%
    Coventry City 24.13%
    Draw 21.58%
SouthamptonDrawCoventry City
2-1 @ 9.64% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.54% (0.029 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.52% (0.545 0.55)
3-1 @ 6.44% (-0.44 -0.44)
3-0 @ 5.04% (-0.352 -0.35)
3-2 @ 4.12% (-0.275 -0.28)
4-1 @ 3.23% (-0.476 -0.48)
4-0 @ 2.53% (-0.376 -0.38)
4-2 @ 2.06% (-0.3 -0.3)
5-1 @ 1.3% (-0.301 -0.3)
5-0 @ 1.01% (-0.237 -0.24)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 54.29%
1-1 @ 9.61% (0.708 0.71)
2-2 @ 6.16% (0.041 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.75% (0.511 0.51)
3-3 @ 1.75% (-0.114 -0.11)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 21.58%
1-2 @ 6.14% (0.46 0.46)
0-1 @ 4.79% (0.658 0.66)
0-2 @ 3.06% (0.424 0.42)
2-3 @ 2.62% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.62% (0.2 0.2)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.183 0.18)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 24.13%

How you voted: Southampton vs Coventry

Southampton
36.8%
Draw
28.9%
Coventry City
34.2%
76
Head to Head
Dec 13, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Coventry
1-1
Southampton
Wright (50')
Palmer (90+1')
Edozie (67')
Walker-Peters (37'), Martin (38'), Bednarek (70'), Aribo (90+5')
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Fourth Round
Southampton
2-1
Coventry
Armstrong (63'), Walker-Peters (112')
Valery (78'), Walker-Peters (113')
Gyokeres (22')
Eccles (41'), Hamer (45+2'), Sheaf (58'), Kane (105'), Clarke-Salter (117')
Apr 28, 2012 12.30pm
Nov 5, 2011 3pm
Oct 28, 2008 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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