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Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Coventry City

Southampton
2 - 1
Coventry

Walker-Peters (18'), Adams (38')
Downes (42')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Bidwell (68')
Latibeaudiere (3'), Eccles (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Southampton and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Southampton 2-2 Coventry City

Southampton are unlikely to fire a blank in front of goal in back-to-back matches, but the Saints' defensive fragility always gives their opposition a chance going the other way. Coventry have showcased their ability to produce shock results on the road in recent times, and we reckon that the Sky Blues will force a share of the spoils on the South Coast. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 54.28%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 24.13% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.54%) and 1-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Southampton in this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawCoventry City
54.28% (-3.152 -3.15) 21.58% (1.099 1.1) 24.13% (2.056 2.06)
Both teams to score 62.42% (-1.29 -1.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.71% (-2.873 -2.87)36.28% (2.875 2.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.59% (-3.213 -3.21)58.41% (3.216 3.22)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.54% (-1.85 -1.85)13.46% (1.852 1.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.55% (-3.847 -3.85)40.45% (3.85 3.85)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.13% (0.051999999999992 0.05)27.87% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.52% (0.066000000000003 0.07)63.48% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 54.29%
    Coventry City 24.13%
    Draw 21.58%
SouthamptonDrawCoventry City
2-1 @ 9.64% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.54% (0.029 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.52% (0.545 0.55)
3-1 @ 6.44% (-0.44 -0.44)
3-0 @ 5.04% (-0.352 -0.35)
3-2 @ 4.12% (-0.275 -0.28)
4-1 @ 3.23% (-0.476 -0.48)
4-0 @ 2.53% (-0.376 -0.38)
4-2 @ 2.06% (-0.3 -0.3)
5-1 @ 1.3% (-0.301 -0.3)
5-0 @ 1.01% (-0.237 -0.24)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 54.29%
1-1 @ 9.61% (0.708 0.71)
2-2 @ 6.16% (0.041 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.75% (0.511 0.51)
3-3 @ 1.75% (-0.114 -0.11)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 21.58%
1-2 @ 6.14% (0.46 0.46)
0-1 @ 4.79% (0.658 0.66)
0-2 @ 3.06% (0.424 0.42)
2-3 @ 2.62% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.62% (0.2 0.2)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.183 0.18)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 24.13%

How you voted: Southampton vs Coventry

Southampton
36.8%
Draw
28.9%
Coventry City
34.2%
76
Head to Head
Dec 13, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Coventry
1-1
Southampton
Wright (50')
Palmer (90+1')
Edozie (67')
Walker-Peters (37'), Martin (38'), Bednarek (70'), Aribo (90+5')
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Fourth Round
Southampton
2-1
Coventry
Armstrong (63'), Walker-Peters (112')
Valery (78'), Walker-Peters (113')
Gyokeres (22')
Eccles (41'), Hamer (45+2'), Sheaf (58'), Kane (105'), Clarke-Salter (117')
Apr 28, 2012 12.30pm
Nov 5, 2011 3pm
Oct 28, 2008 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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