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Coventry City
Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Coventry Building Society Arena
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Coventry
2 - 1
Leeds

Simms (9'), Wright (49')
Bidwell (62'), Sheaf (71'), Simms (88'), Eccles (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Piroe (76')
Gruev (8'), Ampadu (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Coventry City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 3-1 Hull City
Monday, April 1 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Coventry City 1-2 Leeds United

With Coventry generally strong at the CBS Arena, they should give a good account of themselves on Saturday. Nevertheless, we would back Leeds to defeat anyone in the division right now, leading us to predict a hard-earned triumph for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 36.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Coventry City in this match.

Result
Coventry CityDrawLeeds United
38.3% (-2.248 -2.25) 24.79% (1.237 1.24) 36.91% (1.019 1.02)
Both teams to score 58.51% (-4.485 -4.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.3% (-5.869 -5.87)44.7% (5.875 5.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.94% (-5.921 -5.92)67.06% (5.928 5.93)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.86% (-3.631 -3.63)23.14% (3.639 3.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.99% (-5.622 -5.62)57.01% (5.629 5.63)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.12% (-2.13 -2.13)23.88% (2.138 2.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.93% (-3.155 -3.16)58.08% (3.163 3.16)
Score Analysis
    Coventry City 38.3%
    Leeds United 36.91%
    Draw 24.79%
Coventry CityDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.169 -0.17)
1-0 @ 8.09% (1.156 1.16)
2-0 @ 5.92% (0.254 0.25)
3-1 @ 4.13% (-0.575 -0.57)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.632 -0.63)
3-0 @ 2.89% (-0.199 -0.2)
4-1 @ 1.51% (-0.411 -0.41)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.385 -0.39)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.205 -0.21)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 38.3%
1-1 @ 11.58% (1.01 1.01)
2-2 @ 6.07% (-0.526 -0.53)
0-0 @ 5.53% (1.285 1.29)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.415 -0.42)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.79%
1-2 @ 8.3% (0.225 0.23)
0-1 @ 7.92% (1.444 1.44)
0-2 @ 5.67% (0.731 0.73)
1-3 @ 3.96% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.457 -0.46)
0-3 @ 2.71% (0.195 0.2)
1-4 @ 1.42% (-0.148 -0.15)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.242 -0.24)
0-4 @ 0.97% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 36.91%

How you voted: Coventry vs Leeds

Coventry City
6.7%
Draw
33.3%
Leeds United
60.0%
15
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Leeds
1-1
Coventry
Summerville (58')
Summerville (49'), Meslier (66'), Ampadu (75')
Thomas (66')
Simms (66'), Collins (82'), Eccles (88'), Palmer (88'), Sheaf (90+7')
Feb 14, 2012 7.45pm
Coventry
2-1
Leeds
McSheffrey (21' pen., 90' pen.)
McSheffrey (90')
McCormack (32')
Pugh (20'), White (90')
Oct 18, 2011 7.45pm
Feb 5, 2011 3pm
Nov 6, 2010 3pm
Coventry
2-3
Leeds
Turner (64'), Jutkiewicz (52')
Carsley (54')
Gradel (61' pen.), Howson (4'), Snodgrass (40')
Collins (45'), Faye (55'), Brown (72'), Becchio (86')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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