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Coventry City
Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Coventry Building Society Arena
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Coventry
2 - 1
Leeds

Simms (9'), Wright (49')
Bidwell (62'), Sheaf (71'), Simms (88'), Eccles (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Piroe (76')
Gruev (8'), Ampadu (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Coventry City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 3-1 Hull City
Monday, April 1 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Coventry City 1-2 Leeds United

With Coventry generally strong at the CBS Arena, they should give a good account of themselves on Saturday. Nevertheless, we would back Leeds to defeat anyone in the division right now, leading us to predict a hard-earned triumph for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 36.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Coventry City in this match.

Result
Coventry CityDrawLeeds United
38.3% (-2.248 -2.25) 24.79% (1.237 1.24) 36.91% (1.019 1.02)
Both teams to score 58.51% (-4.485 -4.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.3% (-5.869 -5.87)44.7% (5.875 5.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.94% (-5.921 -5.92)67.06% (5.928 5.93)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.86% (-3.631 -3.63)23.14% (3.639 3.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.99% (-5.622 -5.62)57.01% (5.629 5.63)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.12% (-2.13 -2.13)23.88% (2.138 2.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.93% (-3.155 -3.16)58.08% (3.163 3.16)
Score Analysis
    Coventry City 38.3%
    Leeds United 36.91%
    Draw 24.79%
Coventry CityDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.169 -0.17)
1-0 @ 8.09% (1.156 1.16)
2-0 @ 5.92% (0.254 0.25)
3-1 @ 4.13% (-0.575 -0.57)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.632 -0.63)
3-0 @ 2.89% (-0.199 -0.2)
4-1 @ 1.51% (-0.411 -0.41)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.385 -0.39)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.205 -0.21)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 38.3%
1-1 @ 11.58% (1.01 1.01)
2-2 @ 6.07% (-0.526 -0.53)
0-0 @ 5.53% (1.285 1.29)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.415 -0.42)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.79%
1-2 @ 8.3% (0.225 0.23)
0-1 @ 7.92% (1.444 1.44)
0-2 @ 5.67% (0.731 0.73)
1-3 @ 3.96% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.457 -0.46)
0-3 @ 2.71% (0.195 0.2)
1-4 @ 1.42% (-0.148 -0.15)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.242 -0.24)
0-4 @ 0.97% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 36.91%

How you voted: Coventry vs Leeds

Coventry City
6.7%
Draw
33.3%
Leeds United
60.0%
15
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Leeds
1-1
Coventry
Summerville (58')
Summerville (49'), Meslier (66'), Ampadu (75')
Thomas (66')
Simms (66'), Collins (82'), Eccles (88'), Palmer (88'), Sheaf (90+7')
Feb 14, 2012 7.45pm
Coventry
2-1
Leeds
McSheffrey (21' pen., 90' pen.)
McSheffrey (90')
McCormack (32')
Pugh (20'), White (90')
Oct 18, 2011 7.45pm
Feb 5, 2011 3pm
Nov 6, 2010 3pm
Coventry
2-3
Leeds
Turner (64'), Jutkiewicz (52')
Carsley (54')
Gradel (61' pen.), Howson (4'), Snodgrass (40')
Collins (45'), Faye (55'), Brown (72'), Becchio (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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