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Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 8, 2024 at 8pm UK
Hillsborough Stadium
Leeds logo

Sheff Weds
0 - 2
Leeds


Rohl (45'), Famewo (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bamford (45+5'), Gnonto (58')
Ampadu (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Sheffield Wednesday and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-0 Plymouth
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 1-0 Stoke
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 Leeds United

Leeds United boast more quality throughout their ranks and have enjoyed the far stronger Championship season, but they are bound to face a tough test at Hillsborough on Friday against a resurgent Sheffield Wednesday side. With both sides desperate for three points and full of confidence, and with the added stakes of a derby fixture, we predict a cagey encounter ending level in Sheffield. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 50.96%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Sheffield WednesdayDrawLeeds United
25.38% (0.264 0.26) 23.66% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 50.96% (-0.279 -0.28)
Both teams to score 56.54% (0.217 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.33% (0.161 0.16)44.67% (-0.157 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.96% (0.155 0.16)67.04% (-0.151 -0.15)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.6% (0.30099999999999 0.3)31.4% (-0.297 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.22% (0.345 0.34)67.77% (-0.342 -0.34)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.42% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)17.58% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.86% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)48.14% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Sheffield Wednesday 25.38%
    Leeds United 50.96%
    Draw 23.65%
Sheffield WednesdayDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 6.44% (0.052 0.05)
1-0 @ 6.39% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.7% (0.035 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.49% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.16% (0.031 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.43% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 25.38%
1-1 @ 11.11%
2-2 @ 5.6% (0.037 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.52% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.65%
1-2 @ 9.66% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 9.6% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 8.34% (-0.081999999999999 -0.08)
1-3 @ 5.6% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.83% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.24% (0.017 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.43% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.1% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.41% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 50.96%

How you voted: Sheff Weds vs Leeds

Sheffield Wednesday
24.5%
Draw
16.6%
Leeds United
58.9%
151
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Leeds
0-0
Sheff Weds
Rutter (79')
Delgado (35'), Windass (61')
Jan 11, 2020 3pm
Oct 26, 2019 12.30pm
Apr 13, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 42
Leeds
1-0
Sheff Weds
Harrison (65')
Harrison (16'), Phillips (45')

Lees (6'), Hutchinson (47')
Sep 28, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Sheff Weds
1-1
Leeds
Reach (45')
Penney (33'), Bannan (72')
Klich (54')
Klich (73')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1695226121432
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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